If All You See…

By William Teach August 20, 2013 – 1:00 pm

…is an evil moo-cow causing ice caps to melt, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Lonely Conservative, with a post noting people fleeing NY state have taken $46 billion with them.

Read: If All You See… »

Posted in If All You See | 2 Comments | Trackback URL

WSJ: Even The EPA Admits Biofuels Are A Disaster

By William Teach August 20, 2013 – 11:36 am

Biofuels, including ethanol, might be workable in the future. Heck, using sugar as fuel seems to be working well in Brazil. But, what’s being done in America, and much of the developed world, where it is mostly food being used to develop fuels, is an unmitigated disaster (article is behind the paywall. You can see the full thing here)

Put a Corn Cob in Your Tank

A strong candidate for the most expensive policy blunder of recent years would have to be the mandate to blend corn ethanol and other biofuels into the nation’s gasoline supply. This month even the Environmental Protection Agency essentially acknowledged that the program is increasingly unworkable and costly to consumers. The EPA just won’t do much to fix it.

When these mandates were enacted in 2007 under George W. Bush, biofuels were sold as the wonder-fuel of the future: a cheap and plentiful domestic energy source to compete with OPEC oil and reduce global warming. Six years later none of those predictions have panned out.

One of the biggest debacles has been the law’s requirement that the oil and gas industry mix cellulosic ethanol—made from the likes of switch grass and wood chips—into gasoline. The original law mandated the use of one billion gallons of cellulosic fuel in 2013, with even higher levels through 2022. This may have been the worst government forecast in history, which is saying something. Even with taxpayer subsidies, total cellulosic volume in 2012 was about 20,000 gallons. The government was off by a mere 99.9%.

The WSJ goes on to describe many of the issues revolving around cellulosic fuels, including that the fossil fuels industry has to pass on costs of fines for not using fuels that do not exist. Then into the silliness of the corn based ethanol mandates, and ends with

Maybe, but the biofuels program is a failure that can’t be fixed with tweaks. If ethanol is the miracle fuel its defenders say it is, why must its use be mandated? The effect of the quotas has been to raise gas prices and make food more expensive as corn goes to fuel rather than food. A rash of studies also shows no net reduction or even an increase in greenhouse gas emissions from corn ethanol.

But no matter how indefensible the program, no one in the White House and few in Congress want to take on Big Corn. Americans should remember whom to thank the next time they pay $4 a gallon at the pump.

We should also remember that ethanol fuels provide less MPG than standard fuels. Oh, and that the cost increases raise the price of everything that requires delivery by autos and planes.

And lest the typical Warmist starts caterwauling about the WSJ being a supposed “far right” news source, even the NY Times noticed a few years ago that using food for fuel is a Bad Idea.

Read: WSJ: Even The EPA Admits Biofuels Are A Disaster »

Posted in Collapsing Science, Energy, Global Warming | 4 Comments | Trackback URL

Bummer: New Study Finds Tree Ring Proxies “Seriously Compromised”

By William Teach August 20, 2013 – 9:59 am

Usually I focus on the politics of “climate change”, throwing in a few facts and scientific data. Here’s a bit of true science I noticed while going through the feedreader

(The Hockey Schtick) More bad news for Michael Mann: A new paper published in Climate of the Past finds that ‘modern sample bias’ has “seriously compromised” tree-ring temperature reconstructions, producing an “artificial positive signal [e.g. ‘hockey stick’] in the final chronology.” Needless to say, Mann’s hockey sticks are also seriously compromised by statistical techniques that produce hockey sticks from random numbers, use of upside-down data, the trick to hide the decline, the most important tree in the world, use of bristlecone pines which were condemned by the NAS for use as temperature proxies, and a complete lack of validation skill.

(From paper excerpt) Dendrochronologists observed that the older a tree was, the slower it tended to grow, even after controlling for age- and time-driven effects. The result is an artificial downward signal in the regional curve (as the older ages are only represented by the slower growing trees) and a similar artificial positive signal in the final chronology (as earlier years are only represented by the slow growing trees), an effect termed modern sample bias. When this biased chronology is used in climate reconstruction it then implies a relatively unsuitable historic climate. Obviously, the detection of long term 15 trends in tree growth, as might be caused by a changing climate or carbon fertilization, is also seriously compromised (Brienen et al., 2012b). More generally, modern sample bias can be viewed as a form of “differing-contemporaneous-growth-rate bias”, where changes in the magnitude of growth of the tree ring series included in the chronology over time (or age, in the case of the regional curve) skew the final curve, especially 20 near the ends of the chronology where series are rapidly added and removed (Briffa and Melvin, 2011).

…..

Analyzing 1200 randomly selected published chronologies, we find that regional curve standardization is improved by adding an effect for individual tree productivity in 99% of cases, reflecting widespread differing-contemporaneous-growth rate bias. Furthermore, modern sample bias produced a significant negative bias in estimated tree growth by time in 70.5% of chronologies and a significant positive bias in 29.5% of chronologies. This effect is largely concentrated in the last 300 yr of growth data, posing serious questions about the homogeneity of modern and ancient chronologies using traditional standardization techniques.

This shouldn’t be anything unexpected: so much of the Warmists so-called science has serious issues, if not outright fraud. It is based on opinions and political biases. The Hockey Schtick also points towards another paper that finds climate models “substantially erroneous” because the models assume the world is flat.

Read: Bummer: New Study Finds Tree Ring Proxies “Seriously Compromised” »

Posted in Collapsing Science, Global Warming | 1 Comment | Trackback URL

Warmists Really Hate Robust Debate

By William Teach August 20, 2013 – 9:47 am

Just a quickie post. Many of you know that Grist is one of my favorite environmental/Warmist websites, which I cite quite often. I was trying to comment on David Roberts stating that he’s taking a year off, because he’s burnt out. I found out that I’ve apparently been blacklisted from commenting there, receiving a “you don’t have permission to post on this thread” message. Same with every other article.

They probably do not appreciate that I constantly offer real world rebuttal material, as well as call out the Warmists for not practicing what they preach. Dissension is not allowed in Liberal World.

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Posted in Global Warming | 1 Comment | Trackback URL

Jonathan Chait Really Upset Over Voter Suppression In Obama’s Illinois

By William Teach August 20, 2013 – 9:28 am

Oh, wait, sorry, Jonathan Chait, another in a long line of Liberal race baiters and grievance mongers, doesn’t bother to mention Obama’s homestate and their voting restrictions, but instead whines about North Carolina in completely raaaaacist terms

Modern Vote Suppression Better Than Jim Crow, Still Pretty Bad

A pervasive sense of racial victimization has afflicted conservatives during the Obama years — the feeling that they are beset by a combination of false accusations of racism and actual anti-white racial animus that they dare not denounce lest they trigger still more false accusations of racism. That bundle of grievances resurfaced last week when North Carolina Republicans passed sweeping restrictions on voting rights, and Hillary Clinton declared in a speech, “Anyone who says that racial discrimination is no longer a problem in American elections must not be paying attention.”

Cast once again as the heirs to the political tradition of the segregated South, conservatives have lashed back. It is certainly true that modern Republican vote suppression pales in comparison with the pre-1965 version, in method and scale, to the point where equating the two is absurd. Segregated states used violence and “literacy tests” to disenfranchise the vast majority of the black population. The modern analogue instead works around the margins. Nobody is forcibly prohibited from voting. Instead, bureaucratic hurdles discourage some small share of disproportionately Democratic voters from voting.

Four points. 1st, what fantasy world do liberals like Chait live in? 2nd, read the rest of Chait’s race baiting article for a good laugh. Or perhaps you’ll be at the screen with the same type of face your spouse makes when you’ve done something really dumb. 3rd, let’s make sure to note that the pre-1965 voter suppression, which involved violence, occurred at the hands of Democrats.

4th, let’s note that Chait fails to call out any of the Democrat/Northern states which feature similar laws. Illinois, Obama’s home state, requires ID to vote. Granted, it does not go as far as NC’s in requiring picture ID to vote at the polling place on election day. But, for early voting, you are required to have government issued picture ID. People need two forms of ID in order to register to vote. The number of early voting days is 15, compared to NC’s 10 (which includes increased hours and polling places). The national average of those states that do feature early voting (not all do) is 21. You must vote in your own precinct on election day.

Hawaii has required ID for a long time. VP Joe Biden’s home state of Delaware requires some form of ID to vote, not necessarily a picture ID, you could use a utility bill. In order to vote early, you have to have a legitimate excuse. Same with absentee voting. There is no same day registration to vote in Delaware as of yet.

Why is Chait not complaining about those states? Because, apparently, he, like many in the Democrat Party, think Blacks in the South are incapable of obtaining a proper ID and following the rules. Maybe he, like the other Dems, think Southern Blacks are too dumb, to incompetent, to poor to obtain a proper ID. Perhaps Chait is remembering the days when Democrats suppressed Black voting rights. Going after Illinois, Delaware, Hawaii, and other states that see lots of Dems elected would blow out the raaaaacism narrative Democrats like Chait need to validate their fantasies, as well as whip the voting base up.

I like this comment by Morgan Frost about the article

All of this is terribly amusing, but it doesn’t explain why it should be so burdensome for someone to identify himself before casting a vote. An ID card is easy to obtain and is cheap (or, in case of need, free). It’s necessary to purchase alcohol, get on a plane, buy a gun, drive a car, or enter a courthouse. As a voter, I believe that demonstrating that I am who I claim to be prior to casting my vote secures my right, rather than undermining it.

Well, you know, Morgan, raaaaacism.

Crossed at Right Wing News and Stop The ACLU.

Read: Jonathan Chait Really Upset Over Voter Suppression In Obama’s Illinois »

Posted in Democrats, Election Fraud, Unhinged Tools | 3 Comments | Trackback URL

Obama Admin Concerned About Repairing Sound Barrier

By William Teach August 19, 2013 – 4:11 pm

This is of particular concern for them as Mankind raises the global temperature

(Townhall) This past Thursday, the Obama Administration quietly introduced a new endeavor intended to address the environmental effects of manmade objects that travel at supersonic speeds.  White House Press Secretary Jay Carney revealed the program, adding that, “In the eight years preceding this Administration, no attention was given to residual supersonic atmospheric disturbances, especially on healthcare costs.  This President will step up where others before him would not.”

Put simply, how do we repair the sound barrier?

The massive program, funded at an estimated $8.7 billion, is comprised of both research and policy advancements.  The science will be provided in a joint effort between two national laboratories, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado and Fermilab in Batavia, Illinois.  Regulatory measures will be implemented and enforced by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) out of Washington, D.C. (snip)

The higher the ambient temperature, the higher the speed required for an object to reach Mach 1.  So the scientists of Fermilab and NCAR are considering ways to leverage the variability of Mach 1 to help the sound barrier evade inadvertent breakage.  In an ironic twist, Global Warming could actually provide the advantage of fewer occurrences of aircraft breaking the speed barrier.  Both scientists and policy makers will together wrestle with the complex question posed by Representative Hank Johnson (D-GA), “What would be the impact on the environment if Congress were to statutorily raise the sound barrier?”

Wait, it gets better!

The EPA has already begun discussions with environmentalist thought leader Al Gore about developing a series of Public Service Announcements to inform the public and to caution them about the damaging effects of supersonic speeds.  When reached by phone, the former Vice President and filmmaker shared his newfound expertise on the topic, “Most of the smaller residual sonic disturbances seem to be concentrated in some of the least populated areas, like ranches and rodeo arenas.”  He further quipped that, “This truth is looking pretty inconvenient as well.”

We’re doomed!

And the fact that even at this late point in the article you don’t know that I’m kidding says more about Obama and environmental foolishness that it does about your sense of humor or mine.

Sadly, I read all the way to that fake Hank Johnson quote before I started wondering if this was satire.

Read: Obama Admin Concerned About Repairing Sound Barrier »

Posted in Enviroweenies, Like, Gnarly, Dude | 8 Comments | Trackback URL

What Say To $60k For Bulletproof White Boards For Schools?

By William Teach August 19, 2013 – 1:13 pm

Because nutjobs hell bent on murder can’t shoot around them (via John Hawkins)

(BizPacReview) While some say arming teachers or placing armed guards in schools is the best way to keep students safe, the University of Maryland Eastern Shore is taking a different approach to security — by purchasing bulletproof whiteboards.

“UMES is the first university to adopt the bulletproof whiteboard as a critical layer of its student and faculty security system,” Hardwire founder George Tunis said in a statement issued by the university. “It’s ‘back-to-school’ season, and as a result of its leadership, UMES will be one of the safest campuses in the country as students return to school.”

The university explained the purchase:

UMES faculty members will be issued the 18-inch by 20-inch Bulletproof Whiteboards for use in their classrooms. Like first-generation whiteboards, they can serve as portable writing tablets during delivery of lectures and labs.

As In The Capital notes, you can never be too safe, which is true. The school spent $60K for the whiteboards, which may not seem like a big deal, considering what Government spends on other things, but these are strictly defensive, and won’t cover much of a person being shot at. Perhaps the money would have been better spent coupled with handguns for faculty, giving them at least some tiny cover as they blast away at nutjobs trying to causes a massacre in a gun free zone, otherwise known as an “easy target” and “sitting duck zone”.

Read: What Say To $60k For Bulletproof White Boards For Schools? »

Posted in 2nd Amendment, Good Move Slick | 3 Comments | Trackback URL

If All You See…

By William Teach August 19, 2013 – 1:00 pm

…is a sea rising up to swallow the seaboard all the way to the mountains, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Right Wing News, with a post illegals wanting in-state tuition here in NC.

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Posted in If All You See | 2 Comments | Trackback URL

Hooray! Obama To Hit The Road To Talk About Affordable College

By William Teach August 19, 2013 – 9:29 am

Remember when he said that he would spend every waking moment working on the economy? Then gave a couple speeches before heading out on a 1%er vacation? Now that he’s “back”, what does he do?

(Daily Caller) With his poll ratings down, President Barack Obama is taking a two-day road trip to show sympathy for those hit hard by rising university costs during his four-and-a-half-year tenure.

The trip will allow him to make three speeches in New York on Thursday, and speak at two town halls and at one speech in Pennsylvania on Friday.

“At each stop, the President will discuss the importance of ensuring that every American has the opportunity to achieve a quality education by reducing cost and improving the value of higher education for middle-class students and their families,” a White House statement said.

Well, that’s great! Too bad there are few jobs available for all these people who get a college education, and a good chunk are low paying part time jobs.

Even if he doesn’t increase his ratings, he’s expected to use the speeches to continue his sharp invective against the GOP.

So, we should probably expect this to be the typical Neverending Campaign speeches, rather than the type one would expect from the POTUS. He’ll smear the GOP a lot, offer few ideas on how to solve the student debt crisis, then blame the GOP for failing to pass legislation that Obama hasn’t sent to Congress. This will be All About Obama, rather than any attempt to help the country. Narcissism on Display.

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Rubin: NSA Error Rate Nothing To Be Troubled Over

By William Teach August 19, 2013 – 9:00 am

Many of you know that Jennifer Rubin is the Washington Post’s token “Conservative”, and I put Conservative in quotation marks because she is really representing the Establishment, inside-the-beltline, squishy Republican school of thought that anything approaching Reagan type Conservatism. On Friday we learned about the NSA violated privacy rights 2,776 times at their D.C. area data centers erroneously. This was a report that only discussed errors, and, again, doesn’t encompass all the data centers they operate. It doesn’t touch on the intentional privacy rights violations. But, hey, the program is near perfection!

NSA scandal or near-perfection?

………

This is extraordinary. If there are 20 million inquiries each month over a year span that works out to 240,000,000. That equates to an error rate of .00001156666. If the NSA figures are accurate this is the most airtight surveillance program in history. The error rate isn’t simply “extremely low”; it is virtually nonexistent. (snip)

So about 800 Americans were the subject of some sort of error. Over a full year. Involving 240,000,000 inquiries.

I am having trouble mounting outrage over this. Moreover, it is not clear what an error really involved. The NSA hasn’t been forthcoming as to whether, for example, 800 Americans had an e-mail read or if, for example, only an individual’s identity for an e-mail was obtained. We still don’t know if the information derived from the errors was isolated and purged from the system. (snip)

If the NSA wasn’t hiding the ball and there were no instances of intentional misconduct in 240,000,000 inquiries then NSA should be given a gold star. Perhaps the NSA report isn’t accurate or we don’t have a complete picture, but right now it seems that the reaction to the report is hugely disproportionate to the problem.

There’s no doubt that the error rate is tiny. I think we can agree with that. But what of the error rate at other facilities, which would come into play for the overall number? More importantly, while this may seem like no big deal, it is part of the pattern of problems with the NSA and the way they gather data on Americans (note: I do not care if they gather data on foreigners, since that’s what they’re supposed to do). If this was a stand-alone report it would be no big deal. But it doesn’t stand-alone: it follows on report after report after report as to just how intrusive the NSA programs are.

Of course, how do we really know what all the mistakes are when it is the NSA self-reporting them?

Furthermore, we do not know what those inquiries targeted. How many targeted Americans, and saw some unintentional errors where the wrong Americans were targeted? Rubin is pushing the Establishment Republican mentality, which seems to be “we need this, and if you’ve done nothing wrong, don’t worry”, versus the true Conservative/Libertarian version, which is “hey, we have a Constitution, there should be no blanket warrants, this is intrusive and a violation of citizen’s privacy”. This is how we end up with Peter King facing off against Rand Paul.

Just to be clear, there is a debate going on between Democrats, too, we just don’t hear about it much.

Crossed at Right Wing News and Stop The ACLU.

Read: Rubin: NSA Error Rate Nothing To Be Troubled Over »

Posted in Current Affairs, Idiot GOPer's | 4 Comments | Trackback URL
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