The (Fake) 97% Consensus Is Important Because People Are Stupid Or Something

Hyper Warmists Dana Nuccitelli, John Cook, Sander Van Der Linden, Tony Leiserowitz, and Ed Maibach are very enthused to tell us just how darned important the 97% study by John Cook et all is, even though it has been debunked numerous times, including by authors cited in the study

Why the 97% climate consensus is important

Some have argued that consensus messaging is counter-productive. Here’s why they’re wrong. (there is a photo of “comedian” John Oliver embedded at the story to tell us how serious this is)

Unfortunately, humans don’t have infinite brain capacity, so no one can become an expert on every subject. But people have found ways to overcome our individual limitations through social intelligence, for example by developing and paying special attention to the consensus of experts. Modern societies have developed entire institutions to distill and communicate expert consensus, ranging from national academies of science to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Assessments of scientific consensus help us tap the collective wisdom of a crowd of experts. In short, people value expert consensus as a guide to help them navigate an increasingly complex and risk-filled world.

Unfortunately, humans don’t have infinite brain capacity, so no one can become an expert on every subject. But people have found ways to overcome our individual limitations through social intelligence, for example by developing and paying special attention to the consensus of experts. Modern societies have developed entire institutions to distill and communicate expert consensus, ranging from national academies of science to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Assessments of scientific consensus help us tap the collective wisdom of a crowd of experts. In short, people value expert consensus as a guide to help them navigate an increasingly complex and risk-filled world.

Really, it all comes down to them stating that people are sheep and are stupid, so you must be told what to think. And if you don’t buy into the “consensus”, then you must be a denier, as we read further down in the missive. And Wrongthink is just not allowed.

They desperately need people to buy into “consensus”, because then people are willing to let government take their money and give it to these same “climate scientists”, allowing them to be famous, do their studies on the taxpayer dime, and travel around the world on fossil fueled vehicles to conferences paid for by taxpayers in exotic locations.

Read: The (Fake) 97% Consensus Is Important Because People Are Stupid Or Something »

Eagles Malcolm Jenkins Explains What’s Next For The NFL Protests

Originally, the “protest” from a disgruntled quarterback who was demoted to 3rd string and liked wearing socks featuring cops as pigs was about police brutality against Blacks (but failed to mention that roughly 50% of all U.S. murders were committed against Blacks with over 90% of the known killers being Black). So, of course we get mission creep, as Philadelphia Eagles player Malcolm Jenkins is given a platform at the Washington Post (and other outlets, such as Philly.com)

What protesting NFL players like me want to do next

A year ago, I was one of several NFL players who began demonstratingin the hope of sparking conversation about injustice in our country. That effort has now grown to include players and teams across the league, as we proclaim together that we believe in equality and justice for everyone. We understand that these conversations are often uncomfortable, but they are important for progress. Our demonstrations have never been about the symbols and traditions we use to honor America. They have been about us as citizens making sure we hold America to the ideals and promises that make this country great.

Except, there really hasn’t been a conversation, just slogans and annoying fans by disrespecting the flag, the nation, our military, and our first responders. And following the lead of Colin Kaepernick, who wore the pig socks, along with shirts loving Fidel Castro and Mao, not too mention donating $25,000 to a group that supports cop killer Assata Shakur.

But, let’s give Jenkins the benefit of the doubt, and see where he’s going with his mission creep

In the past year, more than 40 NFL players have joined Anquan Boldin, who retired this summer after 14 seasons, and me to form a Players Coalition dedicated to improving our criminal-justice system.

We want to lend our voices to changing this flawed system, which is crippling our nation and especially affects people who are poor or of color. We have gone on ride-alongs with police, visited Capitol Hill and talked with policy advocates and grass-roots organizers. We’ve learned first-hand about the problems we face. We’ve also learned that we aren’t alone. There are plenty of Republicans and Democrats, community leaders and members of law enforcement who agree.

We as citizens must make this work a priority. Consider our money-bail system. In 2016, police punched 58-year-old Gilbert Cruz in the face and arrested him for refusing to leave his own home during an investigation. Unable to make the $3,500 bail, Cruz spent more than two months in a Houston jail. By the time prosecutors finally dropped the case after concluding he had committed no crime, Cruz had lost his job, his car and almost his home.

While Jenkins and his group are aiming this reform along racial lines, let’s note two points. First, they are actually doing something in this push, not just yapping, complaining, and spreading awareness. They’re putting their time and money into this. Good for them.

Second, this is not just a hardcore leftist push. If you visit any media platform of hardcore leftist Democrat Senator Kamala Harris, you’ll see her pushing this. You’ll also see Republicans such as Rand Paul pushing this issue. Some, in pushback, have noted that bail is there to make sure that the accused does not flee prosecution. True. But, sometimes, the money-bail system goes to far, as Jenkins noted above. There certainly does need to be reform. If Rand Paul and Kamala Harris have joined forces, then this is something to consider, IMO.

But, more mission creep

The system punishes even after you’ve served your time. As many as 1 in 3 Americans has a criminal record. Criminal records keep people from getting jobs. Philadelphia native Ronald Lewis runs his own HVAC business, where he hires people from his neighborhood. But two misdemeanor convictions from 13 years ago continue to keep him from getting contracts that could help his business grow.

What the group wants is for records to be sealed on non-violent misdemeanors after 10 years. Good idea? Bad idea? It’s not something that can be immediately answered.

The system has unleashed an extraordinary burden on communities of color. Mass incarceration and the war on drugs have destroyed lives, families and whole communities for generations. Communities of color have also had to watch video after video of unarmed black men and women being handled without regard for their lives or well-being. As a black man, I see these images and I see myself; I wonder whether this will happen to me or one of my loved ones.

Well, if you can’t do the time, don’t do the crime. This is where Jenkins et all should be out in the Black communities, showing there are better ways than shooting each other over crimes of disrespect. Because someone blew off your barbecue or looked at your girl is no reason to pull a gun and start shooting.

I’ve heard people say that my colleagues and I are un-American and unpatriotic. Well, we want to make America great. We want to help make our country safe and prosperous. We want a land of justice and equality. True patriotism is loving your country and countrymen enough to want to make it better.

The way to do it is not pissing off the people who pay good money to come to the stadium. Who buy merchandise. Who give up their time to watch the team play. You catch more flies with honey than vinegar. You catch more fans with hot wings and beer, rather than crapburgers and spoiled milk.

Oh, and perhaps NFL players should consider not committing so many crimes themselves.

Read: Eagles Malcolm Jenkins Explains What’s Next For The NFL Protests »

Democrats Learn That Open Borders Dreamers Will Be A Problem

The illegal alien supporting Democrats learn of the notion of the law of unintended consequences, as Dreamers, whom the Democrats have patronized and supported, given them aid and comfort, become hardcore in their demands

(Daily Caller) A New York Times report Sunday claims that Democrats are facing opposition to saving DACA from many Dreamers themselves, who don’t want any compromise on border security.

The New York Times’ Michael D. Shear and Yamiche Alcindor report, “The pressure from some immigrant activists to reject any compromise that would tighten border security has frustrated Democratic leaders, who recognize the political risks of being labeled the party of open borders — a potentially lethal tag as they seek to regain support from working-class voters across the Midwest.”

The NY Times article itself is entitled “On ‘Dreamers’ Deal, Democrats Face A Surprising Foe: The Dreamers“. Democrats do seem surprised that these illegal aliens, who came across our borders illegal, whose parents made a conscious choice to violate US sovereignty and laws, want to stop all border security.

“Fearful of concessions to Mr. Trump that could increase immigration enforcement aimed at their families and friends, the activists are targeting Democratic congressional leaders with loud political protests. And Democratic politicians may be vulnerable,” the article says. It later added, “But moving too far to the left on border security could hold serious risks for a party that lost the presidency with defeats in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa — all states where immigration remains a hot-button issue.”

Of course, many of the Democrats agree with the Dreamers: they want open borders, regardless of the damage that is done to the nation. They just do not want to admit it. (switching to the Times article itself)

But activists worry that any compromise could carry a very personal price: Their own long-term safety might be secured only in exchange for an increased threat of deportation for their undocumented parents and friends who do not qualify for such protections under the program.

In other words, illegal aliens who should be deported in the first place, but are being protected by Democrats (and some squishy Republicans), want even more illegals to come, and do not want other illegals deported. Including their parents, who committed the “sin” which we keep being told should not be put on the children.

Conservatives want those principles to include a call to limit the number of new legal immigrants and emphasize the entry of high-skilled workers instead of the family members of immigrants already in the country. They want to expand the “E-Verify” system to ensure that businesses do not hire undocumented workers. They are insisting on stepped-up immigration enforcement throughout the country’s interior. And they want Mr. Trump to get his wall along the southern border.

Does this mean that Democrats do not want any of these things that protect America from foreign invasion? Rhetorical

Immigration activists reject such demands as meanspirited and too far-reaching.

Criminals do not get a say. Or shouldn’t, except for the Democratic Party supporting them. And, as Peggy writes in the DC comments

You second mistake is in failing to show gratitude to the American people & “OUR NATION” by marching in our streets carrying the flags of the nation you were born in thus angering the American people and leading them to question your loyalties for a nation that you now lay claim to!

Your third and most offensive mistake is in making demands of a nation that is not yours! All or none??? I say none!

Huzzah. And this is a bed that the Democrats made, and will have to deal with.

Crossed at Right Wing News.

Read: Democrats Learn That Open Borders Dreamers Will Be A Problem »

“Freak Climate Change” Could Maybe Possibly Affect Great Britain

We now have more extreme climatologist language

UK weather WARNING: Britain faces MORE powerful storms throughout autumn
BRITAIN could face more powerful storms this autumn and winter thanks to freak climate change, according to experts.

The entire gist of the article is, get this, that weather could happen! Can you imagine that? Weather! And it’s freaky deaky!

The article itself is just stupid, and I don’t have the energy, or caring, to highlight more of it.

Read: “Freak Climate Change” Could Maybe Possibly Affect Great Britain »

If All You See…

…is a pond full of algae caused by carbon pollution, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is 90Ninety Miles From Tyranny, with a post on another ROP attack in France.

It’s flannel week!

Read: If All You See… »

Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup

Patriotic Pinup Earl Moran

Happy Sunday! A gorgeous day in America. The Sun is shining, the birds are singing, pumpkin spice is everywhere. This pinup is by Earl Moran, with a wee bit of help.

What is happening in Ye Olde Blogopshere? The Fine 15

  1. Watcher Of Weasels (Doug Hagin) notes the NFL protests are based on lies
  2. Victory Girls Blog covers kneeling at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier
  3. This ain’t Hell… has your Sunday feel good stories
  4. The People’s Cube has a solution to the NFL playing the anthem
  5. The Last Refuge notes the Puerto Rican Teamsters Union refusing to deliver relief supplies for contract leverage
  6. The Hayride covers a SCOTUS case which could wipe out public unions
  7. The First Street Journal covers the success of socialism in Venezuela
  8. The Daley Gator notes Michael Bennett’s lies about police brutality
  9. Small Dead Animals notes that liberal men really are the weaker sex
  10. Raised On Hoecakes explains the meaning of “conversation”
  11. Powerline covers Russian meddling with Black Lives Matter
  12. Pacific Pundit notes the LA Lakers saying they’ll lock arms all season
  13. Neo-neocon jumps back to the late 1960’s for protests
  14. MOTUS AD discusses fashion choices for the “stealth racist”
  15. And last, but not least, Moonbattery wonders if the Raiders threw the game for BLM ideology

As always, the full set of pinups can be seen in the Patriotic Pinup category, or over at my Gallery page. While we are on pinups, since it is that time of year, have you gotten your “Pinups for Vets” calendar yet? And don’t forget to check out what I declare to be our War on Women Rule 5 and linky luv posts and things that interest me

Don’t forget to check out all the other great material all the linked blogs have!

Anyone else have a link or hotty-fest going on? Let me know so I can add you to the list.

Read: Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup »

No, Trump Didn’t Botch The Puerto Rico Response

There’s no doubt that President Trump did not help things out with all his tweeting and fighting back against people like the nutty and overly political mayor of San Juan. Playing golf was bad optics (though, the same media had to problem with Obama staying on vacation in Martha’s Vineyard. Or other things). But, the actual response? It has been excellent. Things like this

Bloomberg News, not usually a supporter of Mr. Trump, interviews former Navy Captain Jerry Hendrix, who has intimate knowledge of the goings on and someone who has been heavily involved in other emergency operations

TH: So, it seems like everybody has blasted Trump administration’s response to the Puerto Rico crisis. Has that criticism been fair?

JH: No, I don’t think so. First of all, there was a fair amount of anticipatory action that is not being recognized. Amphibious ships, including the light amphibious carriers Kearsarge and Wasp and the amphibious landing ship dock Oak Hill were at sea and dispatched to Puerto Rico ahead of the hurricane’s impact.

These are large ships that have large flight decks to land and dispatch heavy-lift CH-53 helicopters to and from disaster sites. They also have big well-decks — exposed surfaces that are lower than the fore and aft of the ship — from which large landing craft can be dispatched to shore carrying over 150 tons of water, food and other supplies on each trip. These are actually the ideal platforms for relief operations owing to their range of assets. The ships, due to their designs to support Marine amphibious landings in war zones, also have hospitals onboard to provide medical treatment on a large scale. That these ships were in the area should be viewed as a huge positive for the administration and the Department of Defense.

And early on, these were the only ways to get relief in, as the airports were trashed. The runways had to be cleared first, before even the military heavy haulers could land. And there are only a few runways in PR that can take the big planes. Commercial flights had to wait for even more runway repair, and, all these were coming from farther away, so that relief was not take from Texas nor Florida.

Then on to the use of the hospital ship Comfort

JH: Comfort can add to the solution, but her lack of well-decks and large boats as well as her limited support of helicopter operations means that she has to go alongside a pier to be effective. In the immediate aftermath of a huge storm, pulling into a port that has not been surveyed for underwater obstacles like trees or cables or other refuse is an invitation to either put a hole your ship or foul your propellers or rudders.

That being said, there was a broad misunderstanding of the Comfort’s mission. She is not an “emergency response ship” but rather a hospital ship. She was built to accompany a large military force into a war zone as part of a buildup over time of capabilities to respond to wartime injuries. She is manned by military and civilian mariners as well as active and reserve medical personnel. It takes time to both man and equip her for sea. Given that there was no certainty where the hurricane would hit, it doesn’t make sense to have readied her prior to its impact.

Let’s break that down. It takes awhile to get the personnel on board, and it was a non-optimal use of resources, as it couldn’t dock early on. The only way to get people to the ship was really via helicopter, which was limited. Sending it down is mostly political. Optics. It can’t hurt being there, though.

Captain Hendrix does not that there is a greater need for heavy machinery to do things like clear the roads, which were already in poor repair due to their financial problems. There’s much more to the article, well worth the read.

And there’s this, when it comes to the San Juan mayor going crazy and insulting

The mayor of Guaynabo, Puerto Rico cast serious doubt Saturday on the claims made by San Juan Mayor Carmen Yulin Cruz, who has repeatedly attacked President Trump and accused him of abandoning Puerto Rico in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria.

Guaynabo’s mayor, Angel Perez, said in an interview with The Daily Caller that his experience with the federal government has been different from Cruz’s, in part because — unlike Cruz — he has been participating in meetings with officials from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and other federal agencies.

Cruz, a Democrat, has repeatedly accused Trump and the federal government of abandoning Puerto Rico. She demanded in a press conference on Friday that Trump do more to help the island, adding that “we are going to see is something close to a genocide” if more is not done.

That’s right, she is not even participating in FEMA meetings. Put down the microphone, stop being political, and help your people.

However, I’ll say it again: Trump needs to stop the twitter fights. Let it go. Still, the response has been excellent, despite what Democrats and their pet news organizations are saying.

Crossed at Right Wing News.

Read: No, Trump Didn’t Botch The Puerto Rico Response »

California Considers Ending The Use Of Fossil Fueled Vehicles

This is very interesting, considering how much in the way of fossil fuels are used by the same people making the recommendations

(Grist) Let’s ban gasoline-powered cars, says California’s governor. It’s often said that national climate policy is “Made in California,” and now Governor Jerry Brown reportedly wants to ban the internal combustion engine from its roads.

“I’ve gotten messages from the governor asking, ‘Why haven’t we done something already?’” Mary Nichols, chair of the powerful California Air Resources Board, told Bloomberg. “The governor has certainly indicated an interest in why China can do this and not California.” (snip)

A ban could come as soon as 2030, Nichols said.

Perhaps Nichols could explain how she and the governor have given up their own use of fossil fueled planes and vehicles?

(Daily Caller) Analysts and conservatives believe a Democrat-led plan to propose a ban on gas-powered cars in California later this year is a pie-in-the-sky scheme that ignores important factors about the state’s auto industry.

Assemblyman Phil Ting plans to introduce a bill in January that would ban the sale of gas-powered cars produced after 2040. The Democratic lawmaker said California drivers must adopt electric vehicles if the state is going to reduce greenhouse gas emissions – but some are scoffing at the push.

“The market is moving this way. The entire world is moving this way. At some point you need to set a goal and put a line in the sand,” Ting told reporters Friday. Environmental groups such as the Sierra Club have joined his push to wipe out the state’s fossil fuel industry.

The market isn’t really moving there, unless you are now calling The Government the market.

Kerry Jackson, a fellow at the Pacific Research Institute, a California-based free market non-profit group, for instance, told reporters that the push to force citizens to abandon their gas-powered cars is another example of the state’s overzealous environmentalism.

“The reaction is like, ‘Gee, somebody has been reading The Onion and they got taken in by the parody,” he said, responding to lawmakers’ desire to delete the fossil fuel industry. “But then it fades a little bit and you go, ‘Yeah, this is California.’”

Really, if this is so important to California, why not just restrict all sales starting in 2020?

BTW, someone once asked what was the point of using Rage Boy in that graphic. The answer is that Warmists are as unhinged and zealous as Rage Boy.

Read: California Considers Ending The Use Of Fossil Fueled Vehicles »

If All You See…

…is an evil carbon pollution infused beer, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Right Scoop, with a post on freedom of speech being “genocide”.

Read: If All You See… »

NFL Favorability Cut In Half After Protests

When you’re following the lead of a guy who wore socks denoting police officers as pigs, wear shirts featuring a brutal dictator named Fidel Castro, and donating $25,000 to a group that worships cop killer Assata Shakur, things will not go well

(Breitbart) In news that will shock only those who have spent the last week living in caves, the NFL’s favorability has taken a massive nosedive this week.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll released this week shows that the league’s favorability has fallen from 30 percent on September 21 to a low of 17 percent only a week later.

The poll takers said that this month’s numbers are the lowest favorability ratings the poll has ever measured since it first began polling on the question.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Trump voters expressed an even harsher view. On September 21, 25 percent of Trump voters approved of the NFL, and 11 percent had an unfavorable view. But by September 28, those numbers changed dramatically with 33 percent saying they now have an unfavorable view of the NFL while only 16 percent said they felt positively toward the league.

What kind of effect has this had?

(CBS News) Operators of two of the largest U.S. ticket marketplaces say they are seeing declines in orders for NFL games amid festering controversy over the national anthem.

NFL ticket sales at TickPick slumped 17.9 percent this week compared with the prior week, their steepest decline since 2014, while sales at TicketCity plunged 31 percent. For pro football games in September, ticket sales at TicketCity are down 16 percent from a year ago. TickPick’s NFL sales rose this month, but by the smallest margin since 2015. The vendors’ data reflect tickets sold in the secondary market, as opposed to direct sales from NFL teams.

What will the NFL do when this starts hitting the league in the wallet? Meanwhile, the New Yorker’s Ian Crouch has Trump living rent free in his head

In the third quarter of Thursday night’s N.F.L. game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers, the Bears linebacker Danny Trevathan laid a brutal, helmet-to-helmet hit on an opposing receiver, Davante Adams, causing Adams’s neck to jerk back and his body to crumple to the ground. It was the kind of hit that, not too many years ago, the announcers might have celebrated, but which, in 2017, they have learned to meet with shock. “That sounded awful,” one said. Adams had to be wheeled off the field on a stretcher. He gave the crowd a shaky thumbs-up sign with his right hand.

If Donald Trump were watching the game, he might have liked what he saw—at least up until the point that the referee threw a flag, penalizing Trevathan and the Bears fifteen yards for unnecessary roughness. Last Friday, in Alabama, during his tirade against N.F.L. players who kneel during the national anthem to protest racial injustice, Trump also complained about the state of football more generally. He believes that the game has become too soft. “Today, if you hit too hard—fifteen yards!” he shouted. “Throw him out of the game! They had that last week. I watched for a couple of minutes. Two guys, just really, beautiful tackle. Boom, fifteen yards!” He went on, “They’re ruining the game! They’re ruining the game. That’s what they want to do. They want to hit. They want to hit! It is hurting the game.”

The game has become rather soft. What used to be legal, good hits are now penalties. Trump wasn’t talking about things like spearing and late hits. Football fans have been saying this for awhile. Here’s where it gets truly deranged

These comments were nonsense, and relied on the same kind of racially coded, dehumanizing, us-versus-them rhetoric as the “son of a bitch” remark that got much more media attention. “They want to hit”—he repeated the phrase twice. But what Trump meant was that he wants to see them hit, and for them to otherwise keep their mouths shut. This is a different thing altogether.

PS: Trump still should have stayed out of it. I criticized Obama for getting involved where he should not have, and I’ll do the same for Trump.

Read: NFL Favorability Cut In Half After Protests »

Pirate's Cove