…is a drought caused desert slowly reclaiming the land, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Other McCain, with a discussion of a racist attack.
Read: If All You See… »
…is a drought caused desert slowly reclaiming the land, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Other McCain, with a discussion of a racist attack.
Read: If All You See… »
In Warmist World, the cooling Pacific is surely caused by too much heat
(Judith Curry) My mind has been blown by a new paper just published in Nature.
Just when I least expected it, after a busy day when I took a few minutes to respond to a query from a journalist about a new paper just published in Nature [link to abstract]:
Recent global warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
Yu Kosaka and Shang-Ping Xie
Abstract.  Despite the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual-mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty-first century, challenging the prevailing view that anthropogenic forcing causes climate warming. Various mechanisms have been proposed for this hiatus in global warming, but their relative importance has not been quantified, hampering observational estimates of climate sensitivity. Here we show that accounting for recent cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific reconciles climate simulations and observations.We present a novel method of uncovering mechanisms for global temperature change by prescribing, in addition to radiative forcing, the observed history of sea surface temperature over the central to eastern tropical Pacific in a climate model. Although the surface temperature prescription is limited to only 8.2% of the global surface, our model reproduces the annual-mean global temperature remarkably well with correlation coefficient r 50.97 for 1970–2012 (which includes the current hiatus and a period of accelerated global warming). Moreover, our simulation captures major seasonal and regional characteristics of the hiatus, including the intensified Walker circulation, the winter cooling in northwestern North America and the prolonged drought in the southernUSA. Our results show that the current hiatus is part of natural climate variability, tied specifically to aLa-Nina-like decadal cooling. Although similar decadal hiatus events may occur in the future, the multi-decadal warming trend is very likely to continue with greenhouse gas increase.
This area accounts for 8.2% of the Earth’s surface. The paper seems to take part of the Warmist view that any warming is caused by Mankind, but any cooling or pause is caused by nature. Bob Tisdale notes
Anyone with a little common sense who’s reading the abstract and the hype around the blogosphere and the Meehl et al papers will logically now be asking: if La Niña events can stop global warming, then how much do El Niño events contribute? 50%? The climate science community is actually hurting itself when they fail to answer the obvious questions.
Warmists will continue to say that warming is mostly/solely caused by Mankind’s output of greenhouse gases, specifically you, dear reader, for driving a fossil fueled vehicle and using hair spray. They will either ignore this paper, or simply find a way to, again, blame the cooling on GHGs from Mankind, much like the blame snow and cold on warming, and say that the heat is doing a Where’s Waldo? in the deep oceans. It’s a cult, not a science.
Warmist leaning Climate Central highlights just how they plan on treating the paper.
In other words, natural climate variability affects the rate of global warming like a dial controlling the sound on a speaker — at some points the volume is turned up, and the planet warms faster, while at other times it is dialed back down, with a slower rate of warming. Scientists have also warned that at some point, the speaker may go all the way to 11, with warming at rates never before seen in human history, depending how high greenhouse gases climb.
And by GHGs, they mean Mankind-released ones. Because natural variability can never account for warming in their world. And, because you charged your iPhone and leave the charger plugged into the wall, the temperatures are soon going to go all Spinal Tap and boil the face of the Earth or something.
Both Ms. Curry and Mr. Tisdale delve into the science of the paper, if you want to dig deep.
Read: Mind-Blowing Paper Links Current Warming Pause To Cool Pacific Waters »
Oh, good. We should pass this right now, as they were telling us a few months ago
(Washington Times) Two Republicans who helped write the Senate’s immigration bill said Tuesday that they are convinced it will finally be able to get a handle on the porous southwestern border — but acknowledged it could mean problems for American workers.
Sens. John McCain and Jeff Flake, both Arizona Republicans, said they fear that foreign workers will be more attractive to hire than Americans for some companies because the foreigners won’t be eligible for the same health care benefits.
“I think it’s a problem. I don’t know what else to say,†Mr. McCain told a questioner at a forum on immigration sponsored by the Arizona Republic newspaper and KPNX-TV, both based in Phoenix.
That’s what is called a political gaffe, ie, unintentionally telling the truth.
McCain also said that despite previous amnesty and immigration reform failing to secure the border, “this time it’ll be different”. Trust him and Obama.
Read: McCain: Hey, “Immigration Reform” Could Cause Problems For American Workers »
Oh, and suggests that the lack of hurricanes is also due to “climate change”
(Climate Progress) 350 Action is out with a video that is as jarring as it is hilarious. It notes the injustice of naming devastating hurricanes after people who, most likely, had nothing to do with their destructive power.
It suggests a new nomenclature: “As climate change continues to create more frequent and devastating storms, we propose a new naming system. One that names extreme storms after policymakers who deny climate change.â€
I’ll put the video below the fold.
There have been no hurricanes in August, which would be the first time in 11 years if none arise this week. The Atlantic has seen a string of named Tropical Storms that did not reach hurricane strength — possibly because of increased dry and dusty air coming off the Sahara.
Remember when Warmists were proclaiming that the new normal would be like 2005? Then when landfalling hurricane activity dropped off sharply, they suggested that activity might be lower, hurricanes would be stronger and bigger? Perhaps now they’re going to start saying that there will be fewer hurricanes due to Mankind, much like they now blame cold and snow on Mankind, particularly on our use of fossil fuels.
Yet Jeff Masters of Weather Underground suggests that these conditions will soon end: “The big guns of the African Monsoon are firing off a salvo of African tropical waves over the next two weeks that will find the most favorable conditions for development that we’ve seen this year.â€
This suggests a more active period of hurricane weather in September.
Warmists really, really, really, really want to see some destructive hurricanes make landfall, the better to push their cult.
Read: 350.org Wants To Name Hurricanes After Climate Realists »
…is a horrid flooded drought world, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Director Blue, with a post saying we are no longer a representative republic.
Read: If All You See… »