Bummer: Pause At 18 Years 1 Month

What excuses will Warmists trot out? Because we know there is no possible way they will accept the data, conclusions, or anything that dissuades them from their fanatical devotion to the Cult. Here’s Christopher Monkton bringing the reality (also at Watts Up With That?)

(Climate Depot) The RSS monthly satellite global temperature anomaly for September 2014 is in, and the Great Pause is now two months longer than it was last month. Would this year’s el Niño bite soon enough to stop the psychologically-significant 18-year threshold from being crossed? The official answer is No.

Globally, September was scarcely warmer than August, which was itself some distance below the 18-year trend-line. Therefore, taking the least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomalies, there has now been no global warming for 18 years 1 month.

Dr Benny Peiser, our good friend at the Global Warming Policy Foundation in the UK, had anticipated the official crossing of the 18-year threshold by a day or two with an interesting note circulated to supporters on the ever-lengthening period without any global warming, and featuring our 17-years-11-months graph from last month.

The Great Pause is the longest continuous period without any warming in the global instrumental temperature record since the satellites first watched in 1979. It has endured for a little over half the satellite temperature record. Yet the Pause coincides with a continuing, rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration.

At this point, Warmists are screeching “why’d you pick that time period???????!!!!!!!!!” Explaining it to them again is like teaching a pig to dance. It wastes your time and annoys the pig. Well, really, the pig in this case won’t be annoyed, because they will simply tune the answer out as it flows in one ear and out the other with nothing to stop it.

Does this prove that there was no global warming, or that there won’t be any more warming? Not in the least. What it does is destroy the notion that the warming from the late 1800’s (or whatever point Warmists will focus on for their argument) is mostly/solely anthropogenic. None of their models predicted that this would occur, hence all the Excusemaking and Blamestorming and sticking their heads in the compost heaps.

Anthony Watts highlights something interesting about this from a post back in 2011

Let’s remember several years ago when all the heavy-weights of climate science produced a paper that said the lower troposphere pause had to be at least 17 years long before a clear signal that human-made CO2 warming theories should start to be questioned.

Carl Mears was the second author on that paper along Ben Santer (lead) [and Tom Wigley, Susan Solomon, Tom Karl, Gerald Meehl, Peter Stott, Peter Thorne, Frank Wentz].

Well, that time has now been exceeded and they all have egg on their face.

I’m dying to see what excuses Warmists trot out.

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8 Responses to “Bummer: Pause At 18 Years 1 Month”

  1. Jeffery says:

    Load Monckton, Anthony Watts AND Marc Morono! A trifecta of the stupidest Deniers!

    Be sure and point out that the other datasets, e.g., UAH, Gistemp, NOAA etc all show continued surface warming.

    You’ve never answered this simple question: Why do you only report the RSS dataset? If your reason is that the RSS supports your position while the other equally valid datasets do not, just keep refusing to answer.

    Aside from the surface data, the ocean data also reflects significant warming. And since the oceans make up most the Earth’s upper layer… well, you can do the arithmetic.

    The Earth is warming because of the CO2 we’re adding to the atmosphere. Deny it all you want.

  2. Casey says:

    I give you “denier” Lord Monckton examining all five data sets for 200 months.

    That’s right, all five. The take-home:

    Since a trend of less than 0.15 K is within the combined 2 σ data uncertainties arising from errors in measurement, bias, and coverage, global warming since December 1996 is only detectable on the UAH dataset, and then barely. On the RSS dataset, there has been no global warming at all. None of the datasets shows warming at a rate as high as 1 Cº/century. Their mean is just 0.5 Cº/century.

    He also compares the (newest) IPCC Fifth Assessment Report‘s predictions based on 34 climate models to these measurements. It isn’t pretty. They’re over by 0.2 to 0.27 degrees C, depending on data set.

    How’s that for science, Jeffy, compared to your “the earth is warming because, science!” whinging? The numbers are laughing at you.

    Jeffy’s response: “But, but they’re deniers!!! Stupid deniers!!!! DENYING deniers!!!! DENIERS!!!!! DENIERS!!!!! DENIERS!!!!!

    But, hey, keep coming back to act the fool. It’s entertaining.

  3. Jeffery says:

    Crasey,

    Did you read what you linked? Load Monckton looked at all the datasets and found… that the RSS was flat and the rest showed increasing surface temperature.

    The good Load, the Pirate, and Watts and Morono are not stupid Deniers, they are clever Deniers. But like you, they are science Deniers, nonetheless.

    The jury is out about your cleverness, though.

  4. Jeffery says:

    And Gracie,

    What about the warming oceans and the melting ice?

  5. gitarcarver says:

    The jury is out about your cleverness, though.

    But the jury has long come back with a verdict that you are fool.

    And Gracie,

    Poor Jeffery….. once again he cannot argue anything so all he does is insult those who make a cognitive argument.

    Jeffery, I bet you love April First because you think it is a day named for you.

  6. […] The Pirate’s Cove: Bummer: Global Warming Pause At 18 Years 1 Month […]

  7. Jeffery says:

    poor dumb gc,

    Waah, waah! I was just giving back to Gracie what he or she gave to me, you see.

    You’re just irked that someone made a cognitive argument in your favor on your turf. Unfortunately, they used Load Monckton as a scientific source, lol. Monckton!

  8. gitarcarver says:

    Waah, waah!

    Crying because you got your butt kicked to the curb again l’il girl?

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