And doom is coming in 2040
The latest rise of the world wide average air temperature will not matter compared to how much the planet will heat up by the year 2100, says the latest study in Nature Climate Change. The study compared climate models that reflect the present slowdown in warming to those that don’t. These latest findings show that long-term warming predictions remained unchanged between the four groups of models; since it was not a factor in the global warming slowdown, averaging models won’t change the minds of critics.
“This much hyped global warming slowdown is just a distraction to the task at hand,†lead author and Chief Investigator with the ARC Center of Excellence for Climate System Science, Prof Matthew England said. “This shows that the slowdown in global warming has no bearing on long-term projections – it is simply due to decadal variability. Greenhouse gases will eventually overwhelm this natural fluctuation.â€
Climate Change Scientist says Global Warming Slowdown is Just a Minor Distraction and will Peak in 2040Got that? The actual data showing a Pause is inconsequential, it’s the computer models that really matter.
Oh, and then there’s that little bit about natural variability. If NV can cause a Pause, why can’t it be mostly/solely responsible for the current warm periods?
To split the long-term temperature results from short–term variability, researchers took 200 climate models and recalculated them to 2100 then compared models that matched the current slowdown to those that didn’t. The models were examined by utilizing one of two IPCC carbon emission projections. The first was a situation where greenhouse gas concentrations went on rising uninterrupted through the 21st century. The other assumes emissions are minimized to simulate global warming peaking by 2040, before being reduced drastically.
There is literally nothing that can dissuade the CoC adherents from their beliefs based on computer models over actual data.
