Your Fault: Climate Crisis (scam) Is An Existential Threat To Outdoor Activities

I was going to touch on this ridiculous piece on how electric vehicles cost so much less over time, because, for one thing, people rarely keep their vehicles for 15 years (the average is 4 years). But, this is is more fun in being bat guano insane

Study: Climate change poses an existential threat to outdoor recreation

Covid-19 has brought legions of new enthusiasts to the outdoors, but climate change threatens to send them right back inside.

That’s a key takeaway from a new study, “Global Environmental Change: Climate change and the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands in the continental United States,” by Emily J. Wilkins, Yoshimitsu Chikamotoc, Anna B. Miller, and Jordan W. Smith of Utah State University.

In the study’s abstract, its authors argue that while more people are benefiting from outdoor recreation opportunities, “Changes in climatic conditions are likely to shift the spatial and temporal demand for recreational ecosystem services. To date, little is known about the magnitude and spatial variability in these shifts across large geographic extents.” (snip)

In an interview with Wilkins, the study’s lead author, KUNR Morning Edition host Noah Glick asked her to share her key takeaways from the team’s research.

“Across the whole U.S., we were finding that in the summer, as temperatures warm, we would expect to see visitation decrease at many parks and protected areas,” Wilkins said. “I guess, in a lot of places, it’s going to be getting too warm that people are no longer going to want to be visiting in the summer necessarily.”

In other words, demand for recreation on public lands will shift, creating a massive sea change for businesses that cater to outdoor enthusiasts—brands, retailers, adventure guides, and even non-outdoor shops in towns that serve as gateways to national parks and other recreation hotspots.

In other words, the Great Outdoors and everything associated with it is Doomed. In the future. At some point. They don’t know when. Just trust them. Because Doom is coming. They know it. Despite a minimal increase of 1.5F since 1850. And no acceleration of temperatures. And pauses. And that previous Holocene warm periods were warmer. And that a lot of this is simply land use/Urban Heat Island effect. And that these same people refuse to eliminate their own carbon footprints.

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2 Responses to “Your Fault: Climate Crisis (scam) Is An Existential Threat To Outdoor Activities”

  1. Dana says:

    Our distinguished host quoted:

    “Across the whole U.S., we were finding that in the summer, as temperatures warm, we would expect to see visitation decrease at many parks and protected areas,” Wilkins said. “I guess, in a lot of places, it’s going to be getting too warm that people are no longer going to want to be visiting in the summer necessarily.”

    So, if fewer visit in July or August, does that mean more will visit in May, June and September?

  2. Elwood P. Dowd says:

    Teachy-One-Note sees DOOM! If only he had actually read the article.

    Changes in climatic conditions are likely to shift the spatial and temporal demand for recreational ecosystem services. To date, little is known about the magnitude and spatial
    variability in these shifts across large geographic extents. We use 14 years of geotagged social media data to explore how the climatological mean of maximum temperature affects the demand for recreational ecosystem services by season across public lands in the continental United States. We also investigate how the demand for recreational ecosystem services on public lands may change by 2050 under two climate change scenarios, RCP
    4.5 and RCP 8.5. Across all public lands in the continental U.S., demand for recreational ecosystem services is expected to decrease 18% by 2050 under RCP 4.5 in the summer, but increase 12% in the winter and 5% in the spring, with no significant changes in the fall. There is substantial variation in the magnitude of projected
    changes by region. In the spring and fall, some regions are likely to see an increase in the demand for recreational ecosystem services (e.g., Arkansas-Rio Grande-Texas-Gulf), while others will see declines (e.g., South Atlantic
    Gulf, California Great Basin). Our findings suggest the total demand for recreational ecosystem services across the continental U.S. is expected to decline under warming temperatures. However, there is a large amount of variation in where, when, and by how much, demand will change. The peak season for visiting public lands is likely to lengthen in the continental U.S. as the climate continues to warm, with demand declining in the summer and growing in the off-season.

    Hardly DOOM!

    Teach finishes with a Gish Gallop of irrelevant proclamations…

    Despite a minimal increase of 1.5F since 1850. (2F is not minimal).
    And no acceleration of temperatures. And pauses. (The warming rate has doubled in the past 50 years)
    And that previous Holocene warm periods were warmer. (Even if true, the causes are different)
    And that a lot of this is simply land use/Urban Heat Island effect. (Little evidence to support this claim)
    And that these same people refuse to eliminate their own carbon footprints. (Irrelevant)

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