Skeptic Willing To Bet On Sea Level Rise

Will any Warmists back their predictions with cold, hard cash? Doubtful. Here’s David South, emeritus professor, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University (via Marc Morano)

(IBD) Sometimes I can’t find anyone willing to back up popular predictions with their own money, even very modest sums. For example, in 2007, I offered to bet on whether the Arctic would be “ice free” by the summer of 2013, as predicted by some Arctic experts. They declined my offer. Too bad, because I would have won that bet.

I am now seeking someone willing to bet on another prediction made by those who believe man-made global warming will be a major problem.

Recently, Sen. Dianne Feinstein was quoted as saying, “If we do nothing to stop climate change, scientific models project that there is a real possibility of sea level increasing by as much as four feet by the end of this century.” A 4-foot increase (over the next 86 years) could be reached with a linear rate of about 14 millimeters per year.

At Charleston, S.C., the rate of increase in sea level has been about 3.15 mm per year. One 2012 report says the sea level there could increase by 127 mm (about 5 inches) by 2030, or about 7 mm per year. Still, this is only half the rate predicted by the advocates of the global warming theory quoted above.

I think both these predictions are too high. I am willing to bet the senator, or anyone else, $1,000 that the increase in sea level at Charleston from January 2006 to January 2024 (18 years) will be less than 5 inches.

I wonder, is anyone really convinced the sea level at Charleston will rise faster than 7 mm a year during the coming decade? This is just half the 14 mm-a-year rate often cited in the national debate. If so, are they confident enough to take me up on my bet?

Frankly, I expect nobody is confident enough in the science behind sea-level rise predictions to bet their own money against me. And the more time that passes, the less likely it will become that someone will accept the bet.

According to NOAA data, the average see rise in Charleston is 3.15mm a year, which means a rise of 1.03 feet over 100 years. That data set ran from 1921-2006. The data set from 2007-2013 actually shows a slight decrease in rise, from 3.15 in 2007 to 3.11 in 2013. If we go with the 3.15mm number over 18 years we get….drum roll…..2.23 inches.

Make sure to tween Senator Feinstein about the challenge. Or any other Warmist. Jeff? John? You willing?

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5 Responses to “Skeptic Willing To Bet On Sea Level Rise”

  1. magnificent issues altogether, you just won a logo
    new reader. What could you suggest about your
    post that you made some days in the past?
    Any positive?

  2. Better_Be_Gumballs says:

    No they won’t. They will only whine and moan about what other people do. or should be forced to do.

  3. Nighthawk says:

    Imagine that……


  4. Jeffery says:

    I will take a bet with Mr. South that the worldwide mean sea level will continue to rise at or above the current rate for the next 2 decades. He would need to up the ante and escrow the money, though.

    It’s easy to propose outrageous bets that can only be resolved after your dead.

  5. […] the heals of David South offer to bet $1,000 to anyone regarding sea level change, along comes a Warmist with his own […]

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