Lots of UK tide gauges are not that good for long range, but, the one at Aberdeen shows a whopping .26 of sea rise per 100 years, which is closer to what one would expect in a low level Holocene warm period
Sigh. From the link
The world could see hugely damaging sea-level rise of several metres or more over the coming centuries even if the ambitious target of limiting global warming to 1.5C is met, scientists have warned.
Nearly 200 countries have pledged to try to keep the planet’s warming to 1.5C, but the researchers warn that this should not be considered “safe” for coastal populations.
They drew their conclusion after reviewing the most recent studies of how the ice sheets are changing – and how they have changed in the past.
But the scientists stress that every fraction of a degree of warming that can be avoided would still greatly limit the risks.
Centuries. Even 2 meters (6 feet) in the next 200 years be too much of a prognostication based on reality. But, I do like how they’ve now decided on several centuries as their time frame.
The authors of the new paper, published in the journal Communications Earth and Environment, draw together three main strands of evidence to underline this case.
The world’s current trajectory puts the planet on course for nearly 3C of warming by the end of the century, compared with the late 1800s, before humans began burning large amounts of planet-heating fossil fuels. That’s based on current government policies to reduce carbon emissions from fossil fuels and other polluting activities. (snip)
First, records of the Earth’s distant past suggest significant melting – with sea levels several metres higher than present – during previous similarly warm periods, such as 125,000 years ago.
And the last time there was as much planet-warming carbon dioxide in the atmosphere as today – about 3 million years ago – sea levels were about 10-20m higher.
So, this has happened before, and was not mankind’s fault? I wonder if the BBC will yank those last three paragraphs out off the article, because it blows up their Belief that this is, in fact, all Mankind’s fault.
Read: Surprise: Even If All The Climate (scam) Initiatives Are Met Seas Will Rise In A Doomy Manner »