If All You See…

…is heat induced snow, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is A View From The Beach, with a post on a crazy lady running for Texas governor.

Read: If All You See… »

Remember How “Climate Change” Was Supposed To Destroy Coffee?

We’ve been bombarded with stories like

Yeah, about that

(Business Recorder) Arabica coffee prices sank to 6-1/2 year lows and teetered on the brink of $1 per lb on Wednesday as investors continued to bet on lower prices due to expectations of record crops in top-growers in South America, while cocoa eased from the previous day’s spike.

Wait, a record coffee crop? How is that possible? Oh, wait, my bad, I forgot that Warmists predict doom 50-100 years out. Because all their short term predictions fail, so they have to try and scare people based on something that “might” happen.

Read: Remember How “Climate Change” Was Supposed To Destroy Coffee? »

Bummer: Uninsured Not Checking Out Healthcare.fail

At least not at the moment

(Politico) Less than a quarter of uninsured Americans who plan to get health insurance through the Affordable Care Act exchanges have been to an exchange website, a new poll shows.

Asked if they’ve been to any government health insurance website since they were launched on Oct. 1, only 22 percent of the uninsured who said they planned on using the exchanges said yes, according to a Gallup poll out Friday.

Among uninsured Americans in total, the number is less than one in five: Only 18 percent said they have been to any exchange website.

As to those who have been to an Exchange website, one has to wonder how many surfed over on a lark, in order to see the #Fail or something else, with no intention to obtain insurance. I’ve been on 404Care.gov multiple times, but I have insurance. The question from Gallup was very simple

Perhaps some were very concerned over the fact that, at least for healthcare.gov, security measures are pathetic, if not wholly absent. The certification for the website may have been fraudulently signed.

Meanwhile, Politico also notes that the young healthies aren’t signing up, either

Everyone knows that a couple of million young, healthy people will have to sign up for Obamacare to succeed. But there’s one big problem with that: They’ll probably wait until the last minute.

While older and sicker people have good reason to more aggressively try to get covered, the younger, healthier people aren’t likely to exhibit much patience with a balky website. They’re likely to put off the mandatory insurance sign up until much closer to the March 2014 deadline.

The turd of a law rests upon the notion that young healthies will sign up and pay through the nose in order to cover the older and/or unhealthy. Not happening. Liberals like those at the Politico are really, really hoping that they will sign up at the last moment

One recent study by the Commonwealth Fundfound that one in five visitors to the state or federal enrollment sites was aged 19 to 29, and about half were 30 to 49. The Obama administration wants seven million people in the exchanges by the end of March, 2.7 million of them aged 18 to 35.

Team O and their backers are telling people to Not Panic yet, there is still time before the March 31 deadline. On April 1, they’ll probably….Blame Republicans.

BTW, Obama supposedly apologized for people losing their health plans. Not for lying about keeping your plan dozens of times, of course.

Read: Bummer: Uninsured Not Checking Out Healthcare.fail »

White House To Issue “Sweeping” Mental Health Rules

Many were wondering on Thursday why HHS chief-incompetent Kathleen Sebelius was heading to Atlanta. Some wondered whether she would announce a delay for Obamacare. Nope

(The Hill) The Obama administration will issue long awaited regulations Friday that require insurers to treat mental illness and addiction the same as physical illnesses, current and former lawmakers said.

In testimony Thursday before a Senate Judiciary subcommittee, mental health advocate and former Rep. Patrick Kennedy (D-R.I.) said Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius would announce the action during a speech in Atlanta. Members of the panel familiar with the rule-making also said the regulations would be issued Friday.

The Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act of 2008 was passed through a rider on the TARP legislation in October 2008, following on the heals of the 1996 Mental Health Parity Act, which had sunset provisions and was reathorized multiple times. One has to wonder exactly why it took the Obama administration 5 years to enact the rules of the MHPAEA.

One also has to wonder why this is a big deal, considering the there all already rules in place for the 1996 law that require insurers to treat mental illness the same as physical illness, and to provide coverage for mental illness via health insurance. Let’s ask the NY Times

The rules, which will apply to almost all forms of insurance, will have far-reaching consequences for many Americans. In the White House, the regulations are also seen as critical to President Obama’s program for curbing gun violence by addressing an issue on which there is bipartisan agreement: Making treatment more available to those with mental illness could reduce killings, including mass murders.

In issuing the regulations, senior officials said, the administration will have acted on all 23 executive actions that the president and Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. announced early this year to reduce gun crimes after the Newtown, Conn., school massacre. In planning those actions, the administration anticipated that gun control legislation would fail in Congress as pressure from the gun lobby proved longer-lasting than the national trauma over the killings of first graders and their caretakers last Dec. 14.

So this is really about changing the subject. I wonder if any intrepid reporter will ask Sebelius why it took the Smartest President Evah!!!! 5 years to finalize the rules.

While laws and regulations dating to 1996 took initial steps in requiring insurance parity for medical and mental health, “here we’re doing full parity, and we’ve also taken steps to extend it to the people covered in the Affordable Care Act,” the senior official said. “This is kind of the final word on parity.”

Anyone else think that this will mean an even bigger jump in insurance prices? However, the law itself does not apply to any business with 50 or less employees. Will Team Obama note that?

Crossed at Right Wing News and Stop The ACLU.

Read: White House To Issue “Sweeping” Mental Health Rules »

Alaskans Losing Their Plans They Like, “But It’s Not Really What You Think”

Yet more Americans losing their plans because of Democrats and Obamacare

(Alaska Dispatch) Premera Blue Cross, Alaska’s largest health care provider, said last week that about 5,400 Alaskans on individual plans received cancellation notices in September, because those plans do not meet the requirements under the Affordable Care Act. That’s more than half of the 9,000 Alaskans who have individual health care plans through Premera.

The letters informed Alaskans of the cancellation, and says they’ll be matched up to a new plan that most closely matches their old one, and automatically enrolled in the plan.

Sure, it’s not the same as 150K losing their plans in Oregon, but, then, this is just one provider, and the population of Alaska is smaller. The article then goes on to wonder if the letters are “deceptive”, because they don’t mention healthcare.fail and folks will automatically be enrolled in a much more expensive plan if they do nothing. But, why the cancellations/changes?

The Affordable Care Act changed the requirements for health care plans. All plans in place after the bill was signed into law were dumped, and replaced with plans that have more benefits and restrictions, and often higher costs.

There are “10 essential health benefits” that all insurance coverage must carry, including maternity care, behavioral health treatment, prescription drugs, laboratory tests and preventive services. There are no lifetime coverage caps, so people can receive as much coverage as necessary throughout their lives.

Insurers have no choice.

  • 300,000 from Florida Blue
  • 160,00 from California’s Kaiser Permanente
  • 119,00 from California’s Blue Shield
  • Some reports say over 700,000 in California will lose their plans
  • From Pennsylvania, Insurance Highmark in Pittsburgh and Independence Blue Cross in Philadelphia plan to cancel 20 percent and 45 percent of their total plans
  • 800,000 New Jersey residents will see their plans go away
  • We know Colorado residents are losing their plans, since Michelle Malkin was a recipient of a cancellation notice.
  • We know folks in States like North Carolina are losing their plans, we just don’t know how many. Yet.
  • 140,000 in Minnesota
  • 150,000 in Oregon
  • 290,000 in Washington state

So far.

Read: Alaskans Losing Their Plans They Like, “But It’s Not Really What You Think” »

“Pause” May Last For Another 20 Years

So says a new study

(Daily Mail) The 17-year pause in global warming is likely to last into the 2030s and the Arctic sea ice has already started to recover, according to new research.

A paper in the peer-reviewed journal Climate Dynamics – by Professor Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology and Dr Marcia Wyatt – amounts to a stunning challenge to climate science orthodoxy.

Not only does it explain the unexpected pause, it suggests that the scientific majority – whose views are represented by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – have underestimated the role of natural cycles and exaggerated that of greenhouse gases.

The research comes amid mounting evidence that the computer models on which the IPCC based the gloomy forecasts of a rapidly warming planet in its latest report, published in September, are diverging widely from reality.

The pause means there has been no statistically significant increase in world average surface temperatures since the beginning of 1997, despite the models’ projection of a steeply rising trend.

This is in the context of the “stadium wave”, where cycles come and go. You can read more about this over at Judith Curry’s blog. As I always state, we will see what we see.

Then you have this

(The Hockey Schtick) Dr. Jasper Kirkby, head of the CLOUD Experiment at CERN in Geneva notes in the video lecture below that if one extrapolates the current lull in solar activity, an extended period of no sunspots similar to the Maunder Minimum could occur by 2015. The Maunder Minimum was responsible for the Little Ice Age and lasted for 70 years.

Now, this goes back to a 2011 lecture series which highlighted the roll of the Sun in driving climate (which Warmists tend to minimize or ignore). Again, we shall see what we see. What we are seeing is the failure of Warmist models, and talking points, to predict climate. Hence their reliance on yammering about what will happen in 50-100 years, when most will have forgotten the prognostications.

Read: “Pause” May Last For Another 20 Years »

If All You See…

…is a world flooded due to using plastic water bottles, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Raised On Hoecakes, with a post on a home invasion where the homeowner pulling a gun is “bizarre behavior”.

Read: If All You See… »

Sorry, Colorado Residents, 250K Of You Can’t Keep Your Plan

Um, surprise?

(Fox News) Almost 250,000 Colorado residents have or will have their health insurance plans cancelled under ObamaCare, the state’s Division of Insurance said Wednesday.

A spokesman for the agency said in a press release that the plans are being cancelled for numerous reasons, one being that some of the plans do not meet the new requirements for patient care under the Affordable Care Act.

The agency stated that so far under ObamaCare, 106,083 people in the individual market have lost their plans and 143,116 people in the small group market have lost theirs.

Fortunately, Delaware signed up 4 people.

So: Alabama (87,000), Alaska (5,400), California (279,000), Florida (300,000), Kansas (20,000), Kentucky (280,000), Michigan (140,000), Minnesota (146,000), Montana (20,000), New Jersey (800,000), New York (100,000), Oregon (150,000), Wyoming and (2,600), Pennsylvania (64,000), Washington (266,000), Wisconsin (9,000 – Madison only), District of Columbia (76,000 – Washington D.C. metropolitan area, includes Maryland and Virginia), Colorado (250,000)

Read: Sorry, Colorado Residents, 250K Of You Can’t Keep Your Plan »

Report States Global Sea Rise Is Much Less Than Estimated

The average sea rise over the last 7,000-8,000 years is 6-8 inches per century. As I’ve explained before, we use the 7,000-8,000 year figure due to that being the time when the massive sea rise post-glacial period leveled out (relatively).

When we discuss averages, we have to consider that when the Earth is in a cool period sea rise will be low, if not negative, and must be higher during a warm period. Since the cool periods tend to last longer than the warm periods, then sea rise should be considerably more than the average. How’s that working out?

(Die Welt) A scientific study by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem has closely examined data from the measurement stations located mainly at the coasts and reached the result that sea level rise calculations were exaggerated upwards. In the study Michael Beenstock and colleagues reached the result that sea level rise on a global average is only 1 millimeter and that by the end of the century it will rise only 10 centimeters; only 1/3 of the stations showed a detectable rise, 61% showed no movement and 4% showed a drop.”

10 centimeters equals 3.937 inches. Let’s call it 4. So sea rise isn’t even at average, but below. The average sea rise during the 20th Century was well within the historical averages discussed at the beginning, when it should have been much higher. The 2007 UN IPCC estimate was for 18 to 59 cm (7.1 to 23 in). Which would have still put sea rise at a range going from purely average to a bit above what one would expect during a big warm period.

The article and translation comes via No Tricks Zone, which notes

Overall 1 mm/year is about 67% less than what Jason TOPEX satellite altimetry is showing (3 mm). If anything, Beenstock’s result indicate a sea level rise slowdown.

Beenstock is not the only scientist who has found sea level rise is much slower than believed. Kulke writes that other peer-reviewed studies reach similar conclusions. For example Nicola Scafetta of Duke University (see full paper here) shows that sea level is subject to 60-year cycles and concludes that the human impact on sea level is too small and is statistically insignificant.

Lest one think Kulke is a raging skeptic, he takes the view that there is a human fingerprint on the climate via CO2, but that it has been highly exaggerated.

Back in July, 2013, Anthony Watts blogged a study using GRACE data to highlight that global sea rise was around 6.7 inches per year. So, purely average.

Read: Report States Global Sea Rise Is Much Less Than Estimated »

Surprise: Sebelius Says Employer Based Plans Will Face Same Hurdles As Individual Plans

I’ve mentioned several times that those who receive health insurance through their employer will soon have to deal with the same problems as individuals due to the grandfathering rules established by Health and Human Services. The administration’s own mid-range estimate was that 51% would lose their employer based plans. That would be 78 million people. Now we obtain more confirmation regarding “if you like your plan, you can keep your plan. Period”

(Townhall) Testifying on Capitol Hill Wednesday about the failure of the Obamacare rollout, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius was grilled about President Obama’s false promise that millions of Americans could keep their insurance plans. Sebelius and Obama repeatedly stated plans held prior to Obamacare passing and going into effect would be grandfathered in. What they didn’t mention is the “grandfathering” process comes with caveats, meaning if plans didn’t meet new Obamacare standards, they would be cancelled. Because of those caveats, millions of Americans in the individual health insurance market have lost their health insurance plans despite being promised they could keep them. Today, Sebelius admitted employer based insurance plans will also be cancelled as a result of grandfathering caveats and government requirements making plans illegal under Obamacare.

“Employer based grandfathered plans will have the same caveats,” Sebelius said under questioning from Republican Senator John Thune.

In other words, kiss your plan goodbye and say hello to one which is more expensive, has higher deductibles, and fewer doctors and medical centers. And, companies may just decide that the extra costs aren’t worth it, that it’s cheaper to pay the fine/tax, and point everyone towards the Exchanges. Which work so well that even Democrats are screaming in frustration (via Lonely Conservative)

Since 1995, Hammack and Brothers have received their health coverage from Kaiser Permanente, where Brothers worked until 2009 as a dietitian and diabetes educator. “We’ve both been in very good health all of our lives – exercise, don’t smoke, drink lightly, healthy weight, no health issues, and so on,” Hammack told me.

The couple — Lee, 60, and JoEllen, 59 — have been paying $550 a month for their health coverage — a plan that offers solid coverage, not one of the skimpy plans Obama has criticized. But recently, Kaiser informed them the plan would be canceled at the end of the year because it did not meet the requirements of the Affordable Care Act. The couple would need to find another one. The cost would be around double what they pay now, but the benefits would be worse.

“From all of the sob stories I’ve heard and read, ours is the most extreme,” Lee told me in an email last week.

As I wrote in the comments at The Lonely Conservative “I have absolutely zero sympathy for these Democrats who are finding out exactly what they voted for and getting nailed. Dems always think their policies should negatively effect Someone Else, whether it be taxation, “climate change” policies, or Obamacare. Then, when they find out that they themselves are getting screwed, they whine to the world.” I’ll reserve my sympathy for those who have been against Obamacare from the start.

I know my plan will change heavily. We will have a choice of 3 plans (sounds much like the Exchange). What we do not know are the deductibles, premiums, and coverages. And our plan wasn’t all that cheap for a corporate plan in the first place. Insurance in North Carolina under the Exchange is already costly.

Crossed at Right Wing News and Stop The ACLU.

Read: Surprise: Sebelius Says Employer Based Plans Will Face Same Hurdles As Individual Plans »

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