Bummer: Yet Another Low Hurricane Season Puzzles Climatologists

Yet another year with tepid Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane activity

(Daytona Beach News Journal) Saturday was the end of hurricane season, and it appears as if meteorologists and climate theorists will be left scratching their heads.

The year 2013 is going to go down as the year with the fewest number of hurricanes since 1982. No one is going to complain, especially since it was not supposed to be so calm in Florida. To say the hurricane forecasters missed the mark is an understatement.

Before the hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted between 13 to 20 named storms, and between seven and 11 hurricanes. Of those, between two and six were supposed to be major hurricanes.

Thirteen named storms have formed this season. But only two hurricanes were named. Two is well below the annual average. And neither of those hurricanes was considered major.

And none made landfall in the continental United States. We are fast approaching 3,000 days since the last major (cat 3 or higher) hurricane made landfall. There has only been one hurricane strike since 2008, and it can be argued that Isaac was actually just below hurricane strength (Sandy was not at hurricane strength at time of landfall).

This piece by the paper’s editorial board even takes note of the Warmist talking points that the 2005 season would be the “new normal”, that we were doomed because of “climate change”, and then, since 2005, barely a peep.

Whatever the reason, perhaps it’s time for believers in “climate change” to cool their rhetoric about warming producing supercharged storms. Few people advocate emitting carbon into the atmosphere with no limits, but to achieve policy goals of carbon regulation, some climate-change believers have amped up their rhetoric to the extreme.

Yeah, but they won’t. They’re already coming up with excuses that Blame Mankind for the lack of tropical storm activity.

That’s at least debatable, but the rhetoric is getting so intense that dissent is sometimes forbidden. Look at the Los Angeles Times: An opinion-page editor declared earlier this year that writers who deny evidence of man-made climate change will not be published.

That’s just wrong. And it’s not in the spirit of rational inquiry and debate — it’s a kind of religious absolutism.

Warmists are primarily Leftists, ie, Progressives, who practice what Jonah Goldberg called “nice fascism”. Dissent is not allowed and must be squelched.

Read: Bummer: Yet Another Low Hurricane Season Puzzles Climatologists »

If All You See…

…is a horrible refrigerator causing Bad Weather, which should be restricted in 3rd World Nations, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Lonely Conservative, with a post on more squishiness for Chris Christie

Read: If All You See… »

What Say To Holiday Gifts For The Skeptic In Your Life?

How about a knuckle sandwich? (via Tom Nelson)

(Skeptical Science, a website which is anything but) The end of 2013 is racing into view along with a cluster of holidays traditionally involving gifts. Many of us face the puzzling question of what will please or prove useful to people whom we care about. Gift selection is a problem easier to solve when thinking about children but increasingly difficult as our beneficiaries grow older and often more cranky.

Holidays and celebratory gatherings are also an opportunity to hone our diplomatic skills. When a large number of relatives gather under one roof we have an opportunity to practice biting our tongues in favor of peace and harmony. Friendship and familial ties should transcend our urge to reignite favorite arguments.

If embarrassing everybody with yet another argument is off limits, why not let gifts speak for you? If you find yourself grinding your teeth at other times of the year over disagreements about physics and how the subject pertains to the increasingly torrid surface of Earth, here is a selection of gifts as cathartic for you as they are improving for those very special people in your life, such as your lovable but crazy uncle who thinks the sea floor is littered with undetectable volcanoes.

What gifts do they offer? Well, they say the first should be “the free gift of bemused toleration.” Then two Warmist books. Paying for carbon offsets. But, when all else fails, give them a lump of coal as the final gift selection.

Here’s my list of gifts to give to Warmists

What would you recommend as a gift for a warmist? Oh, here’s one. A handy dandy link to real world climate data

The majority of the country is at or below the historical norm. Weird, right?

Read: What Say To Holiday Gifts For The Skeptic In Your Life? »

Slick Move: Obama Paroles Illegal Alien Relatives Of Military Members

I have to hand it to him, this is a tough one for conservatives to carp against

(USA Today) As a member of the Arizona Army National Guard, Gabriel Zermeño has been preparing for almost two years to be deployed oversees.

But the country he signed up to defend also could one day deport his father.

The reason? Zermeño, 21, is a citizen born in the USA, but his father, José Zermeño, 53, is an immigrant from Mexico who has been living in the U.S. illegally for more than 30 years and has faced deportation proceedings.

Strange, it’s almost like that Amnesty in 1986 encouraged illegals to come to the U.S.

Soon, however, the elder Zermeño may be able to legalize his status, possibly within a couple of months, thanks to a new policy from President Barack Obama’s administration.

The policy, which went into effect Nov. 15, allows the undocumented spouses, children and parents of military personnel to be “paroled” into the United States.

Once paroled, undocumented relatives then will be able to apply for green cards without first having to go back to their home countries, where those who entered illegally face bans from returning to the U.S. for up to 10 years.

Did anyone notice this policy? I may not write that much about illegal immigration anymore, but I do follow the debate, I never saw anything about it.

In the past, the ability of military personnel to focus on their duties often was being weakened because of immigration problems that undocumented relatives faced back home.

Well, perhaps their families shouldn’t be here illegally. Many people face serious stress. Health issues, criminal issues, money issues. Baby is coming and they’re deployed. Many military members have to deal with infidelity and/or divorce. I don’t hear anyone on the left complaining about those. But people who came here illegally? Obviously, that’s a Big Deal.

But, I’m of a mind that direct family members of anyone who serves should be helped out. No cousins, aunt, uncles, sisters of spouses, but direct. But if this is going to happen, there should be a minimum time that a person should have to serve, certainly longer than a 2 year hitch. A minimum six should be good. No reserves. Nor National Guard. Full time. And said family should not be eligible for government benefits like Medicaid, Medicare, food stamps. Obamacare subsidies. Only standard military benefits. And should pay a fine.

See what Obama did there? A very slick move. I have to wonder if you are thinking the same thoughts.

Read: Slick Move: Obama Paroles Illegal Alien Relatives Of Military Members »

Here Comes The Next Fast Food Strike For Higher Wages

Yesterday, the NY Times Editorial Board called for a decrease in military pay. Today, they breathlessly report on a coming low wage worker strike

Seeking to increase pressure on McDonald’s, Wendy’s and other fast-food restaurants, organizers of a movement demanding a $15-an-hour wage for fast-food workers say they will sponsor one-day strikes in 100 cities on Thursday and protest activities in 100 additional cities.

The movement, which includes the groups Fast Food Forward and Fight for 15, is part of a growing union-backed effort by low-paid workers — including many Walmart workers and workers for federal contractors — that seeks to focus attention on what the groups say are inadequate wages.

The fast-food effort is backed by the Service Employees International Union and is also demanding that restaurants allow workers to unionize without the threat of retaliation.

As the Other McCain writes

The slack-jawed teenager serving french fries and the hipster grad student serving latte at your local Starbucks — we must increase their pay, says the New York Times, whereas the men and women who take an oath to serve their nation . . . “Tough choices.”

These jobs were never meant to be ones for employees to make a living wage, to be the primary way of earning a living for adult, unless one becomes management.

Simon Rojas, who earns $8.07 an hour working at a McDonald’s in South Central Los Angeles, said he would join Thursday’s one-day strike.

“It’s very difficult to live off $8.07 an hour,” said Mr. Rojas, 23, noting that he is often assigned just 20 or 25 hours of work a week. “I have to live with my parents. I would like to be able to afford a car and an apartment.”

Mr. Rojas said he had studied for a pharmacy technician’s certificate, but he had been unable to save the $100 needed to apply for a license.

So rather than going out and getting a second job, or looking for a different job that pays well, he suffers working part time (amazing that there are so many part time jobs, eh?) for $8.07 an hour slinging fries. Obviously, we must increase the pay to $40 an hour!!!! Anyhow, R.S. McCain notes how Paul Krugman, who works at the same NY Times company, writes

The last few decades have been tough for many American workers, but especially hard on those employed in retail trade — a category that includes both the sales clerks at your local Walmart and the staff at your local McDonald’s. Despite the lingering effects of the financial crisis, America is a much richer country than it was 40 years ago. But the inflation-adjusted wages of nonsupervisory workers in retail trade — who weren’t particularly well paid to begin with — have fallen almost 30 percent since 1973.

So can anything be done to help these workers, many of whom depend on food stamps — if they can get them — to feed their families, and who depend on Medicaid — again, if they can get it — to provide essential health care? Yes. We can preserve and expand food stamps, not slash the program the way Republicans want. We can make health reform work, despite right-wing efforts to undermine the program.

And we can raise the minimum wage.

A couple points. First, it was Republicans who raised the wage to what it currently is, adding the increase into a defense spending bill that most Democrats voted against. Second, his paper just called for a decrease in military pay. People who serve, and fight, for America. Who put themselves in harm’s way. Who lose limbs and their lives. Krugman feels that people working basic jobs that are suited for teenagers, entry level folks, and seniors looking for something to do, should get big pay raises.

The NY Times Editorial Board also has a piece up today regarding NY City teachers calling for better wages for new teachers. But, hey, let’s cut back on military pay. There’s also another piece in the Opinionator section calling for an increase in the minimum wage. But not for military folks.

Crossed at Right Wing News.

Read: Here Comes The Next Fast Food Strike For Higher Wages »

All I Want For Christmas Is Tolerance-And Climate Change

This is actually a pretty good opinion piece from Elizabeth Farrelly at the Canberra Times

All I want for Christmas is tolerance – for our own traditions

Christmas is coming, the geese are getting fat – and the people. Dear Lord, the people. For children, Christmas means pressies and beaches; for adults, parties and booze. In the city it’s no longer even called Christmas, but Santa Fest. Advent will be marked by the month-long projection of ”Santa’s journey” across the Town Hall, because Advent is party month; followed by a few days’ full-on feasting, then a fortnight’s recuperative drinking-sur-mer.

For young adults, it’s even more intense, since they come off a higher base. What with pre-loading, side-loading and after-loading, their base is as alcohol-soaked as Great Aunt Aggie’s Christmas trifle.

I say this, representing as I do a generation devoted to shocking its parents via every conceivable form of excess, with a touch of admiration. I do not recall, even in my heyday, ever drinking more than a couple of nights a week, or more than four or five drinks a night.

I’m guessing she isn’t too happy about people drinking so much. She has a point. As someone who attended East Carolina U in my younger days, I know something about drinking a lot. We typically took a break Monday nights. But, you know this has to go downhill somewhere, right?

But more concern – not just about the health effects (cancer, obesity, addiction, brain damage) but about the behaviour itself as a symptom. I cannot help feeling the relentless boozing as compensation for the way we have deprived our children of significance.

We bequeath them not just a physical world ravaged by climate change but a cultural world whose highest values are safety, comfort and happiness. We leave them a belief system framed around OH&S, quality assurance, market forces and the white-bread nostrums of the Dalai Lama. Streuth. No wonder they need a drink.

Read: All I Want For Christmas Is Tolerance-And Climate Change »

If All You See…

…is an evil fossil fueled vehicle framed against a perfect place to put a wind-farm, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Cold Fury, with a post about America the banana republic.

Read: If All You See… »

Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup

Happy Sunday! It’s another great day to have your insurance cancelled ruminate on the greatness of America. This pinup is by Gil Elvgren, with a wee bit of help.

What is happening in Ye Olde Blogosphere? The Fine 15

  1. This ain’t Hell… discusses Dana Milbank wanting a draft
  2. Wild Thing isn’t impressed by Obama’s new Afghanistan ROEs
  3. The People’s Cube covers Comrade Michelle’s Let’s Move
  4. The Lonely Conservative has a leftist explaining why working is stupid
  5. The Last Tradition notes that the “fake knockout game” sure seems to be real
  6. Scared Monkeys notes a different person in the media deemed “fake knockout game”
  7. The Daley Gator has Leftists attacking Stand Your Ground
  8. The Camp Of The Saints has the new feudal lords
  9. Raised On Hoecakes wonders if you remember that Iran nukes deal
  10. At Powerline, Steven Hayward trolls healthcare.fail for prices
  11. Political Realities notes that Obamacare is more than a website
  12. Outside The Beltway discusses repealing presidential term limits
  13. Moonbattery has the keep your plan rap
  14. House of Eratosthenes has tyranny of nice
  15. And last, but not least, Gay Patriot has a quickie post on having an honest debate
  16. And one to grow on: Victory Girls notes that the Boston bomber may not get the death penalty

As always, the full set of pinups can be seen in the Patriotic Pinup category, or over at my Gallery page. While we are on pinups, since it is that time of year, have you gotten your “Pinups for Vets” calendar yet? And don’t forget to check out what I declare to be our War on Women Rule 5 and linky luv posts

Anyone else have a link or hotty-fest going on? Let me know so I can add you to the list. (BTW, since someone asked, the reason I leave links for the previous week up (or you might see a *) is because they are place holders for later in the day or for next weeks. Easier than rewriting all the time. Also, the listing order has to do with how they are added over time, not how good a post is. I just copy and paste from the previous week, then edit. If you see one of the *’s, go ahead and check out the blog anyhow, see if there is an update. I cannot update with my Android during the day.

Read: Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup »

NY Times: Hey, Let’s Put Military Pay On The Chopping Block

I’m eagerly awaiting the NY Times’ Editorial Board piece on putting teacher and other unionized public sector worker pay on the block. Think we’ll ever see it?

Putting Military Pay On The Table

Big-ticket weapons like aircraft carriers and the F-35 fighter jet have to be part of any conversation about cutting Pentagon spending to satisfy the mandatory budget reductions known as the sequester. But compensation for military personnel has to be on the table, too — even though no other defense issue is more politically volatile or emotionally fraught.

But don’t you crazy right wingers even think about touching any entitlement programs. Or Obamacare. That’s what they always tell us (wait till the end)

After a decade of war, the very idea of cutting benefits to soldiers, sailors and Marines who put their lives on the line seems ungrateful. But America’s involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan is over or winding down, and the Pentagon is obliged to find nearly $1 trillion in savings over 10 years. Tough choices will be required in all parts of the budget. Compensation includes pay, retirement benefits, health care and housing allowances. It consumes about half the military budget, and it is increasing.

Many groups have called for modernization of the compensation packages military members.The Times even mentions the right leaning American Enterprise Institute. Except, AEI mostly just calls for reform of the post-service benefits, like Tricare, high retirement pay, base commissary discounts. They also mention the bloat in the civilian workforce that serves the military. They do think pay for active duty should track with inflation.

One problem is that unrestrained compensation costs will edge out funds for training, readiness and weapons. A recent Congressional Budget Office study said that between 2001 and 2012, when private-sector wages were effectively flat, basic military pay rose by 28 percent in inflation-adjusted dollars. The study also said that cash compensation for enlisted personnel, including food and housing allowances, is greater than the wages and salaries of 90 percent of their civilian counterparts. And health care costs are projected to rise from $51 billion in 2013 to $77 billion by 2022.

Strange, because public sector workers have much higher pay and compensation packages than their private sector compatriots. Public sector workers, especially unionized ones, have very generous retirement packages, blowing away private sector workers. Why aren’t we talking about reforming them?

Ye Olde NY Times wants serious changes and reductions to military compensation. Do they have a point. Yes. Surely, though, they want draconian cuts for one of the few federal government programs specifically authorized by the Constitution.

Soldiers must be adequately compensated. But when programs across the government are being slashed, including those affecting the most vulnerable Americans, no budget account can be immune from reductions and reforms. It is a difficult balance to get right.

You heard it from the Times, folks. Nothing can be immune. So they can’t whine when Republicans go after the public sector unions, entitlement programs, government giveaways, nor others. Including Obamacare.

Read: NY Times: Hey, Let’s Put Military Pay On The Chopping Block »

Healthcare.gov May Or May Not Work Sunday

It’s all about shifting the goalposts

(Washington Post) Administration officials are preparing to announce Sunday that they have met their Saturday deadline for improving HealthCare.gov, according to government officials, in part by expanding the site’s capacity so that it can handle 50,000 users at once. But they have yet to meet all their internal goals for repairing the federal health-care site, and it will not become clear how many consumers it can accommodate until more people try to use it.

Interestingly, there’s still no mention of whether the important part, namely transmitting info to the insurance companies and collecting payment, which is rather important, will work

“I continue to believe, and [I am] absolutely convinced, that at the end of the day, people are going to look back at the work we’ve done to make sure that in this country you don’t go bankrupt when you get sick, that families have that security,” Obama said. “That is going be a legacy I am extraordinarily proud of.”

Whether or not the website works is not the actual point, it’s simply a sideline of the utter failure of the legislation, highlighting that the government is incompetent.

At the end of the day, what matters are the blatant lies, the intentional fraud, the tens of millions losing/will lose their health insurance, the artificial increases in premiums and deductibles, forcing people to buy a product or be penalized, reduction in health network access, the coming rationing and “death panels”, people being moved from standard insurance to Medicaid, people who push it refusing to sign up for it themselves, the waivers, the intrusion into our health decisions.

Obama can believe what he wants, but at the end of the day this legislation will be a failure.

Read: Healthcare.gov May Or May Not Work Sunday »

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