The best part is the subhead of this Science article which is devoid of science
Just a small rise in Earth’s temperature could cause irreversible ecosystem and weather changes
Scientists call for forecasting teams to join forces, improve estimates of “tipping points”
Forecasting? Like how weather forecasts seem wrong more often than right? How the climate cult has been blowing prognostications for decades?
An expansive study of climate tipping points in this week’s issue Science is likely to fuel that discussion. It synthesizes the most current evidence on how much warming would risk passing 16 tipping points, triggering polar ice collapses, permafrost thawing, monsoon disruptions, and forest and coral reef diebacks. Many of these systems are already stressed by rising temperatures, and the study finds the world might already be within the warming range where the risk is elevated. It also concludes that even under the most ambitious scenario for limiting global warming—to 1.5°C compared with preindustrial levels—the planet could still see dramatic changes.
It’s a “timely and thorough piece of work,” says Chris Jones, a climate scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre. The findings are broadly consistent with previous work, he says, but updated and more detailed. He and other climate scientists warn against “cataclysmic” interpretations of the findings. The study also indicates that “a lot of really bad tipping points are still avoidable,” says Zeke Hausfather, leader of climate research at the technology firm Stripe.
So, now even 1.5C is super bad? Heck, even other doomsday cults have some positive news, right?
To estimate tipping points, University of Exeter earth systems scientist David Armstrong McKay and his colleagues gathered evidence from ancient climate records as well as modern observations, model predictions, and current best estimates. They looked at ecological, atmospheric, and other systems to identify those most at risk of abrupt, irreversible, or self-sustaining change as Earth warms. Then, they estimated the minimum amount of warming that might trigger a tipping point in each system, as well as the maximum warming a system might be able to withstand before a catastrophic shift becomes unavoidable. The authors also made a best estimate of where each tipping point sits—somewhere between the extremes—and noted how high their confidence was in each of the 16 forecasts.
This is all cute, because the Earth is such a dynamic system that it’s impossible to know all this stuff even in 2022. It is all a guess, or, as they like to call it, “current best estimates.” Almost all of which have failed for decades. And, unsurprising, if start digging deep, you see how much of this involves computer models, rather than hard research. They’ve been yammering about tipping points, the tipping points do not happen, so, let’s just move them to the future.
While a “slight” in average global Temps might not seem like much, 10000 years ago when the world was 5C colder we hD ice sheets 1 mile thick in New York
In myifetime I have seen ice on ponds and cranberry bogs fail to freeze for skating west of Boston
In Teach’s lifetime he has seen the rich lobster fishing in NJ waters disappear because surface waters where lobster eggs hatch
Go up a miniscule 2F
Mx Teach deliberately (we hope; we hope he’s not so stupid to actually believe what he typed; his hapless readers should be insulted) downplays a 1.5°C increase in mean global surface temperature as ‘slight’.
Yes, you could not tell the difference between 90°F or 92.7°F on a Saturday afternoon in Raleigh, but that’s not the issue now, is it?
But a global 1.5°C increase in the surface temperature injects significant energy into the atmosphere, land and oceans. The ‘Little Ice Age’ resulted from a gradual drop of only 0.5-1°C in the mean global surface temperature. The difference between the Holocene “Optimum” (high) and the LIA was 1.0°C.
We get it. Connies like to trivialize issues with terms such as ‘slight’ and ‘trace gas’ and ‘tiny’ and ‘only ppm’ etc.
A 50% increase in atmospheric CO2 – CO2 added to the atmospheric by we humans burning dense hydrocarbons buried for millions of years – is causing the Earth to warm.
It’s pointless to argue with Rimjob when he has no evidence of his assumptions.
#TheScienceIsSettled
#TrustUs
Bwaha! Lolgf
“Rimjob” is the product of 60 years of leftist brainwashing. He can’t even conceive anyone could possibly disagree with his perfect “assumptions”. And if one deoes he’s stupid, racist etc…
MAGA
The cult doesn’t need evidence, they have “belief”. Another model study that “could happen”.
And John in your lifetime you’ve seen record coral in the GBR as CO2 and temps went up, contrary to the crystal ball readings…
Mx Teach deliberately (we hope; we hope he’s not so stupid to actually believe what he typed; his hapless readers should be insulted) downplays a 1.5°C increase in mean global surface temperature as ‘slight’.
Yes, you could not tell the difference between 90°F or 92.7°F on a Saturday afternoon in Raleigh, but that’s not the issue now, is it?
But a global 1.5°C increase in the surface temperature injects significant energy into the atmosphere, land and oceans. The ‘Little Ice Age’ resulted from a gradual drop of only 0.5-1°C in the mean global surface temperature. The difference between the Holocene “Optimum” (high) and the LIA was 1.0°C.
We get it. Connies like to trivialize issues with terms such as ‘slight’ and ‘trace gas’ and ‘tiny’ and ‘only ppm’ etc.
A 50% increase in atmospheric CO2 – CO2 added to the atmospheric by we humans burning dense hydrocarbons buried for millions of years – is causing the Earth to warm.
And Rimjob keeps repeating the stupid.
Maybe it’s his onset dementia.
So Jeff, as usual you blame this on the carbon god. Now, how do you propose keeping volcanos from spewing out carbon?
We get it. Democommies like to blow everything into an emergency from which they derive more power over others. With them the sky is falling and just like Chicken Little they are full of shit.
May things are causing the earth to slightly warm and man is about the least of them. The only thing that’s going to destroy humanity is if we allow science denying idiots to destroy our economies and cultures in the name of their cult.
The whole thing is and has always been a scam and only fools believe it. The sad thing is they are inflicting it on us. We need to stop the left “by any means necessary”.
I noticed they have begun murdering reporters now. That’s what happens when we get too close to the truth in a nazi régime. Everything within the Junta, nothing outside the Junta.
MAGA