So, what happens if this doesn’t happen? Who gets blamed for the scary prognostication? Who pays the penalty?
World on track to breach key 1.5°C threshold in next 5 years: Report
There is a 50% chance that, during the next five years, the global average surface temperature will exceed 1.5°C above the preindustrial average for the first time in an individual year, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported Monday.
Why it matters: Under the Paris Agreement, countries are seeking to limit global warming to 1.5°C of warming compared to preindustrial levels, in order to minimize the potential for devastating climate change impacts.
Studies show that if global warming were to exceed 1.5°C above preindustrial levels and remain there, the odds of widespread damage would greatly increase.
Between the lines: The new report, which provides climate projections for the five-year period between 2022 and 2026, does not indicate that the 1.5-degree target will be breached over the long-term, which is the target’s meaning under the Paris Agreement.
Ah, they’re hedging their bets. Also, Axios couldn’t even do the easy research to know that Paris was about keeping the world below 2C, which caused lots of heartburn for diehard Warmists.
The big picture: Climate studies have shown that if warming were to exceed 1.5°C as a long-term average, then far more severe consequences would ensure, such as the loss of warm water coral reefs, flooding of small island nations and an increase in deadly heat waves around the world.
Computer models have shown that a minor 1.5C increase in over 170 years, which has happened in multiple Holocene warm periods, will be doom.
