Good News: Hurricane Drought Is Just “Bad Luck”

Even before the massive 2005 hurricane season, which saw multiple major (category 3+) hurricanes make landfall, including Katrina, Warmists were slowly telling us that global warming/climate change would make hurricane season worse. After 2005, they turned the dial up to 11 with this prognostication. And, almost immediately, hurricane activity dropped off, especially for landfalling systems. Even tropical storm levels dropped. Warmists then tried the talking point of “there will be fewer, but they’ll be stronger”.  America has not witnessed a major hurricane make landfall since October 2005, a record time, which stood since the Civil War level. There have been very few tropical systems, much less actual hurricanes, that have made landfall since 2008. So, Warmists then went with the talking point that global warming/climate change was stopping them. And now we get

US hurricane drought is ‘basically dumb luck’, scientists say
No hurricanes category 3 or above have hit the United States for a decade, the longest recorded stretch since scientists began tracking the storms

Ten years ago, an especially strong and destructive hurricane season brought Katrina to Louisiana in August, followed two months later by Wilma slamming into the Florida coast. And then, for the next 10 years, nothing: no major hurricanes have hit the United States since.

As the US approaches another hurricane season beginning on 1 June, it will also be approaching a historic milestone: there have been no category 3 or above hurricanes in nearly a decade, a stroke of luck that scientists say is truly out of the ordinary.

This current “hurricane drought” is the longest ever recorded since scientists began keeping track of hurricanes in 1851. The last record of eight years happened from 1861–68.

New research from Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, published this week in Geophysical Research Letters, suggests the historic drought is probably just a coincidence.

“We concluded it’s basically dumb luck,” said co-author of the report and senior scientist at Nasa’s Goddard Institute Dr Timothy Hall. “If [the drought] went on and on and on we’d question our assumptions, but for now it seems to be luck.”

Could it be just dumb luck? Well, sure. Could it be that the Pause had an effect? Sure thing. Could it be that warming had an effect? Sure. Could it be something else? You bet. But, what this is is excuse making in an attempt to deflect from the original talking points, then, if hurricane activity ramps up (which it surely will at some point), they can then switch back to Blaming Mankind for global warming/climate change.

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