2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted To Be Below Average

You don’t say

(Accuweather) With the start of the Atlantic hurricane season merely days away, on Thursday, May 22, 2014, NOAA released its 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast, predicting a likely below-normal hurricane season. On par with AccuWeather.com’s forecast, released on May 14, the agency expects this season to offset the high hurricane activity seen in the last 20 years. Out of the last 20 years, 12 years have experienced above-normal hurricane seasons, according to NOAA. NOAA predicts a total of eight to 13 named storms, with three to six developing into hurricanes and one to two intensifying into major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. The seasonal averages are 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

If by “high activity” they mean no major hurricanes making landfall on the US since October 2005, and just one barely a hurricane since October 2008, well, OK, then.

It’s hard to know if this is a reality check amongst previous predictions of doom, or simply a CYA that will allow Warmists to say “hey, look, we had more than predicted!!!!” if there are more.

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9 Responses to “2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted To Be Below Average”

  1. Kevin says:

    This is actually a little frightening. They’ve been wrong every single year since Katrina (2005). This year shouldn’t be any different. So we’re going to get hammered :(.

    0

  2. john says:

    Predictions? Teach remember wgen you were crowing about that Sandy rainstorm as being “overhyped”

  3. Mark E says:

    Maybe I’m mis-remembering, but didn’t the US hurricane centers lower their naming conventions a decade or so back so that what would be a depression everywhere else in the world magically became a tropical storm in the Atlantic and thus could be named?

    I’m thinking that a 35 mph wind in the Atlantic is a named tropical storm, but the same wind in the Pacific is just a tropical depression?

  4. jl says:

    Climate astrologers “predictions” continue to be way below average.

  5. Jeffery says:

    Don’t forget:

    The Earth continues to warm because of CO2 that humans are adding to the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels.

    The rest of the stuff that deniers pimp is just distraction.

  6. Nats says:

    Oh my goodness, See people this absolutely confirms all the climate models set forth by all of the settled science predicted from the last 70 years!!! We all must change our lives to pre 20th centry models in order to restart the hurricane’s season! How can the deniers not see this as a prediction of ultimate death and destruction of all man kind!
    Yes we really need a designated sarcasm font.

  7. Jeffery says:

    The primary flaw in the Denier Cult Religion is the lack of a falsifiable hypothesis. Regardless if NOAA had predicted more hurricanes or fewer hurricanes you would call it a failure. You’ve predetermined your acceptable outcome, which is, independent of any evidence, NOAA is wrong. Denier. Cult. Religion.

  8. Don’t forget:

    The Earth continues to warm because of CO2 that humans are adding to the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels.

    The rest of the stuff that deniers pimp is just distraction.

    If that’s the case, why are Warmists pumping out CO2 in copious amounts, instead of going carbon neutral? Because you have no proof, just an faith.

    The primary flaw in the Denier Cult Religion is the lack of a falsifiable hypothesis

    See, the thing is, you have to prove, with verifiable facts, not assertions and computer models, that this is all caused by CO2 output from Mankind.

  9. Better_Late_Than_Gumballs says:

    If by “high activity” they mean no major hurricanes making landfall on the US since October 2005, and just one barely a hurricane since October 2008, well, OK, then.

    Yes, no activity is high activity now.
    But, what else can they say when they look at long term averages.

    I know some parts of the US are really dry and hot, CA and AK and TX, but here in OK, our temps are way below average. For May no less.

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