Surprise: Chance Of World Hitting 1.5C Doubles In New “Model”

I guess no one is buying all the “Coronavirus is the time to Do (destroy the world’s economy an control everyone’s lives) Something” talking points, so, back to straight scaremongering

Chances of global warming to 1.5C within five years doubles under new modelling

Global temperatures have a 20 per cent change of reaching 1.5C above pre-industrial levels in the next five years, according to new analysis from the World Meteorological Organisation which doubles the likelihood from an earlier assessment.

Analysis last year from the Met Office, which led on the new report, put the likelihood at 10 per cent.

The Met Office said the higher figure was produced by using models from ten different climate centres around the world for the first time.

The Paris Agreement, which governments signed up to in 2015, aims to limit global warming to 1.5C and at least 2C, based on averages over a 30-year period.

Current warming is at 1C, which the WMO said would continue over the next five years, with a one in five chance that one year would hit 1.5C and a 70 per cent chance that one month would.

So, if the world is at 1.8 Fahrenheit now, they’re claiming that there’s a 20% chance of having a year were it gets to at least 2.7F, and 70% a full month would be at 2.7F. Despite only rising 1.8F since 1850, something that is utterly normal during a Holocene warm period. The Medieval Warm Period was almost 1.8F higher than it is today, with, get this, no fossil fueled vehicles. Depending on the data, the MWP may have spiked almost 3.5F from the Dark Ages before dropping back to the Little Ice Age. Previous warm periods may have been warmer.

But, you know, this is all your fault for eating a cheeseburger the other day. And the climate cult has some fearmongering to offer.

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5 Responses to “Surprise: Chance Of World Hitting 1.5C Doubles In New “Model””

  1. Phil Taylor says:

    So what is the pre-industrial average temperature? What is the average global temperature now, and what would it be if the temperature hit 1.5C above the average pre-industrial temperature? Why do these articles never tell you.
    According to UAHv6.0 TL, the current temperature is only 5/10’s of a degree higher and UAHv5.6 TLT it is only 3/10’s. higher that the 100 year average.
    Please advise.
    Thank you.

  2. Donnafer says:

    You are my heart – http://clickfrm.com/z6b4

  3. Ragnar says:

    As REAL CLIMATE SCIENTISTS will say, BRING IT ON. That would increase the amount of vegetation on the planet, correspondingly then it would increase the amount of O2 in the atmosphere, which in turn may increase the amount of rainfall over the planet, which would lead to more areas to grow crops and more food. Where are the negatives of that?

  4. Alicesok says:

    You are my heart – http://clickfrm.com/z7ua

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