Nate Silver has an interesting piece up at the NY Times entitled The 10-Word Question That Could Cost Obama the Election. Skipping past a recitation of just what Carter was facing, we get to
Mr. Reagan would win overwhelmingly, however, claiming 44 states (even Massachusetts and New York) while limiting Mr. Carter to just 41 percent of the vote. He surged in the final week of the campaign after he posed the following question to Americans in the presidential debate of October 28, the first and only such event in which he and Mr. Carter participated together:
“Are you better off than you were four years ago?†Mr. Reagan asked, dwelling on Mr. Carter’s economic and foreign policy failures. Voters decided that they weren’t, and Mr. Reagan became the 40th president.
Nate goes on to discuss Obama’s approval ratings, stating, quietly, that they seem inflated from reality, but, he also goes on a “Blame Bush and the Republicans” tangent. Fortunately, a good chunk of the current GOP presidential crop seems quite willing to call Obama out on that meme if he tries it. Which they probably will.
Nate doesn’t want to dive into the horrible state of the economy that much, much like the rest of the Compliant Media only runs unlinked stories here and there, because that would harm Obama. Liberals apparently think that it’s better to take the economy down and get Obama re-elected.
Fact is, Election 2012 will hinge on the economy, as we all know. If it gets better in 2012, Obama will have a better chance. Considering this administrations policies, the economy will probably be in the same place, or worse, come November 2012.
