NY Times Recommends Contact Tracing To Help Stop Bat Soup Virus

Here’s the thing: when it comes to certain diseases and viruses, the government will track transmission. Things like syphilis, AIDS, gonorrhea, if someone has Ebolo or the bubonic plague, along with many others, Los Federales will look to see who they had contact with. If someone is spreading disease around, they lose their privacy rights because they are endangering other people. But, what about the government simply tracking all your movements? This is by Dr. Tom Frieden, a former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Dr. Kelly Henning, who is director of public health at Bloomberg Philanthropies.

Why Contact Tracing Is an Essential Part of the Coronavirus Fight

We’ve been dealt a bad hand with the coronavirus pandemic. Until we have a vaccine or effective treatment, we have limited tools to fight it. Closing large segments of our society and having people shelter at home is a blunt tool that works, but it inflicts severe hardship on individuals and the economy.

We have a sharper tool, the four-cornered Box It In strategy, to stop chains of transmission by widespread testing, isolation of cases, contact tracing and quarantine of contacts. It works, but it doesn’t work perfectly. Some say it’s hopeless to even try contact tracing on this scale. But contact tracing can work — if we do it right. Some states, like New York, Massachusetts and California, are moving quickly to expand these services.

For many places right now, that’s correct. The numbers are overwhelming. But sheltering in place is working. We project that in New York City, perhaps the hardest-hit area of the world and still documenting more than a thousand new infections per day, the number of new cases will continue to decrease — if we continue to apply the blunt instrument and stay at home — to the low hundreds per day. Combined with an urgent and extensive scale-up of contact tracing capacity, we may be able to manage that number. For areas of the country and the world that haven’t yet experienced explosive spread, extensive contact tracing can help limit the need for widespread sheltering in place.

Wait a minute: if everyone is hunkered down by Government decree, why are there new cases? If people are washing their hands and practicing social distancing, why would they contract it? Something just doesn’t add up on the transmission of Bat Soup Virus.

Contact tracing won’t stop all spread of the coronavirus. But just because you can’t fix an entire problem doesn’t mean you shouldn’t fix some of it. Every time contact tracing results in an infected person’s being isolated or a contact’s being quarantined when that person develops infection, a web of transmission is broken. The best evidence is that most people with the coronavirus don’t spread the infection at all, but a few spread it widely in superspreading events. These events are most devastating when they occur in congregate facilities that house medically vulnerable people — in particular, nursing homes, homeless shelters and correctional facilities. Contact tracing can quickly sound the alarm so that outbreaks can be either prevented or stopped early, limiting disease spread both within and outside these places.

Wait, most people do not spread it at all? Isn’t that a rather important bit of information to know? First I’ve heard of it.

Newer technologies may help increase the efficiency and effectiveness, but person-to-person interaction will always be required. For example, technologies that help contact tracers communicate with patients and contacts and allow contacts to report their status and seek assistance can make the process more efficient. In contrast, ambitious efforts to detect contacts automatically by tracking Bluetooth connections are unproven, raise important privacy concerns and will be limited by the proportion of people participating, although they could potentially be important to contact tracing in the future.

It’s nice that they don’t want people tracked by Bluetooth, but, that’s not how the government is trying to track people: it’s by the location of their phone to the cell tower. And with doctors recommending all this contact tracing, this will involve massive amounts of government intervention, and they will go to the easiest, tracing where your phone was. Turning your GPS doesn’t help. And once they start doing this, when do they stop? They’ve already set the stage that we could see another big outbreak come Fall. So, they’ll keep the program going. And they will use it for more and more things, all in the name of “public safety.” Enjoying your test drive of Modern Socialism?

Read: NY Times Recommends Contact Tracing To Help Stop Bat Soup Virus »

Bat Soup Virus Riddle: Why Does It Crush Some Places And Not Others?

An actual good, introspective, non-political story by the NY Times

The COVID-19 Riddle: Why Does the Virus Wallop Some Places and Spare Others?

The coronavirus has killed so many people in Iran that the country has resorted to mass burials, but in neighboring Iraq, the body count is fewer than 100.

The Dominican Republic has reported nearly 7,600 cases of the virus. Just across the border, Haiti has recorded about 85.

In Indonesia, thousands are believed to have died of the coronavirus. In nearby Malaysia, a strict lockdown has kept fatalities to about 100.

The coronavirus has touched almost every country on earth, but its impact has seemed capricious. Global metropolises like New York, Paris and London have been devastated, while teeming cities like Bangkok, Baghdad, New Delhi and Lagos have, so far, largely been spared.

The question of why the virus has overwhelmed some places and left others relatively untouched is a puzzle that has spawned numerous theories and speculations but no definitive answers. That knowledge could have profound implications for how countries respond to the virus, for determining who is at risk and for knowing when it’s safe to go out again.

There are already hundreds of studies underway around the world looking into how demographics, preexisting conditions and genetics might affect the wide variation in impact.

The one thing we do know is that most who die had pre-existing conditions and tend to be over 55. Anyhow, some countries that are hot are sorta OK. Others are not.

Draconian social distancing and early lockdown measures have clearly been effective, but Myanmar and Cambodia did neither and have reported few cases.

Sweden has mostly done OK, too. So, what’s the answer? It’s a long article and worth the read (you can also read it on Yahoo). A couple interesting things they do not real delve into, first being that it seems to target the old and infirm specifically. People with conditions. But not the young. Which is very strange for any virus. It’s almost, dare I say, like it was tailored. The Chinese would never want to kill off their old and infirm who could not be productive, right?

A second interesting thing is how rarely we hear about those with BSV getting very sick. Consider all those spring breakers: we heard about them getting it, but, not if they were really sick. Just saying how many people have it is meaningless without knowing how bad their symptoms are. Kinda like the difference, for me, of sneezing and getting stuffy, maybe light coughing, from my allergies to dust mites, grass, and oak (OTC allergy pills dry me out), and eating a scallop, which can put me in the hospital.

Read: Bat Soup Virus Riddle: Why Does It Crush Some Places And Not Others? »

If All You See…

…is a world turning to desert from carbon pollution, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Raised On Hoecakes, with a post on a teacher losing her mind over kids playing football in a park.

Read: If All You See… »

Bummer: Working From Home Might Not Be Better For The Planet

First they wanted us working from home, happy that we would all be using a lot less in the way of fossil fuels. Of course, that’s not good enough for the Cult of Climastrology

Working from home may not be better for the planet, study says

Working from home may not be better for the environment in the long-term as it could be offset by emissions in the home and additional car journeys, according to a study from the University of Sussex.

Road transport has halved worldwide during the lockdown as commuters are forced to stay home, contributing to what will likely be the biggest drop in carbon emissions in history.

Working from home has been touted as one of the most likely long-term impacts of the pandemic, as both employers and employees adjust to more flexible behaviours.

But maintaining a work-from-home lifestyle after the lockdown has lifted is likely to lead to emissions being offset elsewhere, the study by the university’s Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions has concluded.

Damned if you do, damned if you don’t with these Cultists.

People are also likely to use their newly disposable time and income taking more journeys and buying more goods that have associated carbon emissions.

Damned people trying to live your lives instead of hunkering down and enjoying this test drive of Modern Socialism

Furthermore, much of the energy savings from the office are simply transferred to increased electricity and heating at home.

Damned people living a modern life with energy and stuff

“If people are going to spend their saved money on something else, there needs to be government policy in place to make sure the industries that are providing these goods and services aren’t doing so in a way that offsets environmental benefits.”

Damned people daring to spend the earnings from the fruits of their labor on stuff, so, Government has to control this.

Read: Bummer: Working From Home Might Not Be Better For The Planet »

We Can Flatten The Climate Curve Using Social Learning Or Something

Oh, look, the Cult of Climastrology has now hijacked the verbiage of Bat Soup Virus. It’s not surprising, as they hijack everything

Flattening the climate curve using social learning

My first reaction to the comparison between the climate crisis and the pandemic: We cannot shelter in place for climate. Yet, symptoms are known. The physical repercussions of climate risk are very visible. So is the science. Regretfully, no vaccines nor tests would help in reversing climate change.

Restarting the communication clock on the urgency of climate action is an essential component of getting us to rein in the consequences. We have ample evidence — almost daily — of effective communications in times of crisis: the ones that work (for example, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s daily updates to New York state residents or Arne Sorenson’s COVID-19 message to Marriott’s associates) and those that will last even longer in people’s minds but for the opposite reason.

Communicating the facts continues to affect action more than the point of views of so called “influencers.”

Yet, they do not communicate actual facts that prove that the actions of mankind are mostly/solely responsible for the slight increase in global temperatures.

Rather, I choose to trust in “social learning” — borrowing from a neuroscience publication of mine in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Empirically, in periods of time when groups are called to make decisions in a state of ambiguity and extensive “known unknowns,” decisions are more likely to be skewed to the near-term comfort zone and going for “good enough” solutions. Suboptimal, in both short and long term, as group decisions end up supporting individual decision makers. (Hint: This already could be happening as we see diverging scenarios in the debate regarding the post-COVID return to business as usual.)

How far can we go in terms of mobilizing resources (people and capital) if we restart the clock on effectively communicating climate change priorities? I think the real lesson of COVID-19 is that society can respond forcefully and collectively when enough of us are well-informed of what needs to be done, and the government supports individual action with laws, ordinances and other policy actions.

It’s not really this difficult. If you put actual facts out there, most people will follow them. If you have to employ psychological tricks, that shows this is a scam propagated by a cult. One which also refuses to practice what they preach.

Read: We Can Flatten The Climate Curve Using Social Learning Or Something »

WRAL Snitches On “Heavy Crowd” Chilling At The Beach

I’m not sure which beach they go to normally, because this is not what I call a heavy crowd

Drone video shows heavy crowds at Ocean Isle Beach on Sunday

Ocean Isle Beach loosened its restrictions to access on Thursday. Public parking has opened and short-term rental restrictions were lifted, but the beach still requires social distancing of six feet. (Video courtesy of Ethan Clark)

What I see is a bunch of people sitting at the beach spread out like people normally do. We have plenty of space at our beaches. They are doing what is today called “social distancing.” I hate to assign negative motives to this, but, we’ve seen what the media has been doing, and the headline is the clue. Perhaps the person who took the video was just taking video, being excited that people are coming back.

Meanwhile

Chicago mayor threatens anyone who disobeys lockdown: ‘We will shut you down, we will take you to jail’

Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot threatened to issue citations and even arrest anyone who violated stay-at-home orders. Lightfoot issued a strong warning to her constituents who don’t comply with the lockdown orders during a COVID-19 press conference on Saturday.

“We will shut you down, we will cite you, and if we need to, we will arrest you and we will take you to jail,” Lightfoot said. “Don’t make us treat you like a criminal, but if you act like a criminal and you violate the law and you refuse to do what is necessary to save lives in this city in the middle of a pandemic we will take you to jail, period.” (snip)

After her news briefing, Lightfoot and police officers patrolled the streets and ordered a group of young kids to go home. One young man responded: “Y’all need to find a cure. You talk about going home. You go home.”

If being home is so darned important, why is she out and about? Perhaps she can get another haircut. And the city has released lots of criminals from jail. And won’t keep illegal aliens in jail.

https://twitter.com/MaybeAmes/status/1256422097489997824

Read: WRAL Snitches On “Heavy Crowd” Chilling At The Beach »

Bummer: Some Restaurants Aren’t Ready For Bat Soup Virus Re-Opening

EVERYBODY PAY ATTENTION!!!!!!

Georgia’s governor said they could reopen. More than 50 restaurateurs said in a newspaper ad they’re not ready

Owners of more than 120 of Georgia’s most popular restaurants announced this week they won’t be reopening their doors just yet, despite getting a green light to do so from the governor.

Gov. Brian Kemp said customers could again go to restaurants for dine-in service starting April 27 as long as eateries put in place measures to mitigate staff and guest exposure to coronavirus. The state has, so far, had more than 27,490 infections and at least 1,169 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University.

In a full-page advertisement in a local newspaper, more than 50 restaurateurs said they would hunker down a little longer.

“We pledge ourselves to act as custodians of the public’s trust,” the statement reads. “(…) Recognizing that each operator faces incredibly difficult decisions on the path ahead, we affirm the fact that public safety is the top priority as we navigate the challenge.” (snip)

“In order to have that long-term thinking, it’s very challenging to do so, especially when you’re losing money or the state is running out of money,” he said. “At the same time if we want to avoid further pain down the road my feeling is we have to incur a little bit more pain now.”

And then

As governor eases COVID-19 restrictions in 77 counties, some restaurants not ready to welcome back diners

….

Some in central Iowa, like Baldwin, are eager to again welcome customers for table service. Others say they need more time to prepare their physical spaces and staff to ensure they’re reopening under the safest possible conditions that won’t contribute to a new spread of virus activity. Some say they’re having difficulty restocking certain food items and obtaining enough disinfectant.

You’re getting a smattering of that all across the country, with not just restaurants, but gyms and such. And, you know what, places that are not ready don’t have to open. But, many are demanding that others do not open. That the lockdown rules remain in place. They’re attempting to put their beliefs on others and take away their Constitutional Rights. Think of the beach. Why is it not open? Certainly, they can allow people to go and sit on the beach as long as they social distance. Heck, make it 10 feet apart. 15. How does that hurt anyone? Why can’t people people be free to live their lives within the social distance rules? Physical separation. We do not have to be locked down.

Read: Bummer: Some Restaurants Aren’t Ready For Bat Soup Virus Re-Opening »

If All You See…

…is horrible evil carbon pollution filled beer, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is The Feral Irishman, with a post on something that made him laugh.

It’s Corona week!

Read: If All You See… »

Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup

Patriotic Pinup

Happy Sunday! Another fantastic day in America. The sun is shining, the birds are singing, the the curve is bending down in a lot of places around the country. This pinup is by Ted Withers, with a wee bit of help.

What is happening in Ye Olde Blogosphere? The Fine 15

  1. Jo Nova highlights a study on Bat Soup Virus and vitamin D
  2. America’s Watchtower notes the hundreds of Bat Soup lawsuits headed to the courts
  3. Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiller covers the cops showing up because a lady let her child play
  4. Blazing Cat Fur notes the “assault weapons ban” in Canada, which includes shotguns
  5. Chicks On The Right covers another allegation of improper sexual behavior by Joe Biden
  6. Cold Fury discusses going to work, going to jail
  7. DaTechGuy’s Blog covers why Dems are struggling with Tara Reade’s accusations
  8. DC Clothesline discusses the NY Times admitting Obama sent spies into Trump camp
  9. Geller Report News highlights the leaked “Five Eyes” dossier on China’s Bat Soup coverup
  10. hogewash has data on bending the curve
  11. IOTW Report brings your cute story, with a dog crashing a weather man’s broadcast
  12. Jihad Watch features Muslim migrant violence increasing in Sweden
  13. Just One Minute discusses more mainstream reports of Bat Soup being released from a lab
  14. Legal Insurrection covers the #MeToo hypocrisy of Democrats
  15. And last, but not least, Moonbattery notes Michigan handing out condoms and lubricants for Bat Soup

As always, the full set of pinups can be seen in the Patriotic Pinup category, or over at my Gallery page (nope, that’s gone, the newest Apache killed access, and the program hasn’t been upgraded since 2014). While we are on pinups, since it is that time of year, have you gotten your “Pinups for Vets” calendar yet? And don’t forget to check out what I declare to be our War on Women Rule 5 and linky luv posts and things that interest me.

Don’t forget to check out all the other great material all the linked blogs have!

Anyone else have a link or hotty-fest going on? Let me know so I can add you to the list. And do you have a favorite blog you can recommend be added to the feedreader?

Read: Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup »

Say, Who’s Up For A Post-Bat Soup Virus New World Order?

Seriously, this won’t give the conspiracy theory folks ammunition, right? Because it’s not like former Obama State Department Policy Planning Staff member Edward Fishman is putting it to print, right?

How to Build the Post-Coronavirus World Order

International orders seldom change in noticeable ways. Just as Rome wasn’t built in a day, the Pax Romana was not a passing phase: it persisted for centuries. The order that arose from the 1815 Congress of Vienna didn’t fully unravel until the outbreak of World War I in 1914.

But at rare moments, confidence in the old order collapses and humanity is left with a vacuum. It is during these times that new orders are born—that new norms, treaties and institutions arise to define how countries interact with each other and how individuals interact with the world.

As the most far-reaching global disruption since World War II, the coronavirus pandemic is such a moment. The post-1945 world order has ceased to function. Under a healthy order, we would expect at least good faith attempts at international coordination to confront a virus that knows no borders. Yet the United Nations has gone missing, the World Health Organization has become a political football and borders have closed not only between countries but even within the European Union. Habits of cooperation that took decades to entrench are dissolving.

Well, let’s see, that’s rather because this is a disease that spreads through contact. Did Edward miss the part of about social distancing? Stay at home orders?

Five years ago, I represented the State Department in an inter-agency project to evaluate the future of the international order. We studied past transitions and discussed possible reforms. We recognized that the order was fragile and needed repair, but we also appreciated the power of inertia—it takes extreme moments for leaders to accept that the old order is broken and summon the will to forge a new one.

Now that extreme moment is here, and U.S. leaders have an opportunity that typically comes around just once or twice a century: They can build an order that actually works for our times—one that combats climate change, cyber threats and public health challenges, and that allows for the fruits of globalization and technological progress to be shared more widely. If, that is, they do it right.

No, no, nothing creepy about this. This is the kind of thing that gives people like Alex Jones wet dreams, yet, here Edward is saying that they want giant monster big world government, and will take advantage of the misery, fear, sickness, and even deaths of people to achieve it.

The coronavirus will arrest our lives longer than we’d like, but not forever—and when the crisis passes, the contours of the new order will take shape rapidly. To ensure that brief window is put to good use and not consumed by squabbling, U.S. and world leaders should begin collaborating now to formulate principles.

It would be foolish to expect President Donald Trump, who is one of the reasons that today’s international order isn’t working, to spearhead planning for a new one. We might have to wait for a more internationally minded president to form the institutions of the new order. But Trump’s presence doesn’t mean that valuable progress can’t happen in the meantime.

In other words, Trump would get in the way of instituting Modern Socialism, otherwise known as Progressivism (nice Fascism).

Despite temptations to find scapegoats for a pandemic that has already killed more Americans than the Vietnam War, U.S. leaders should be generous in aiding post-coronavirus recovery efforts around the world. Though Beijing doubtless bears blame for its suppression of early reports of the coronavirus, America and the world would be far better served by bolstering China’s public health system than by seeking to punish Beijing or embarrass it through racially insensitive epithets.

But, of course Edward is inclined to be nice to China.

At the same time, we need a revamped order among like-minded democracies—which, as a smaller group, can be more ambitious. The United States and its allies in Europe and Asia should come together into a council of democracies, expanding collective defense beyond the military realm to counter subtler menaces such election meddling, disinformation and financial coercion. On the economic front, it’s well past time for an international system that prioritizes human welfare over growth for growth’s sake. America, the EU, Japan and other democracies should seal new economic agreements in which increasing market access goes hand-in-hand with cracking down on tax avoidance, protecting data privacy and enforcing labor standards. Some level of pullback from globalization is inevitable and warranted. But absent planning now, that retreat will be chaotic and blunt, throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

That means the government runs the economy. Socialism. Never let a good crisis go to waste, right?

Read: Say, Who’s Up For A Post-Bat Soup Virus New World Order? »

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