That Whole ‘Climate Change’ Is Messing With The Winter Jet Stream? Never Mind

No worries, the Cult of Climastrology will come up with some other Reason

Arctic climate change may not be making winter jet stream weird after all

An influential, highly publicized theory — that a warming Arctic is causing more intense winter outbreaks of cold and snow in midlatitudes — is hitting resistance from an ongoing sequence of studies, including the most comprehensive polar modeling to date.

In science, this is called a hypothesis, because it was never proven, nor put through the rigors of the Scientific Model

The idea, first put forth in a 2012 paper by Jennifer Francis, now at the Woodwell Climate Research Center, and Stephen Vavrus, at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, is that two well-established trends — Arctic amplification (intensified global warming at higher latitudes) and depleted sea ice — can force the polar jet stream to dip farther south, thus causing more intense bouts of winter weather than might have otherwise occurred.

Over the past decade, this hypothesis sparked widespread public interest and scientific debate, as various high-profile cold waves and snow onslaughts hit North America and Eurasia, including a deadly, prolonged cold wave in Texas last February.

The idea was to blame cold, snow, and ice on Other People driving fossil fueled vehicles and refusing to give up their money, choice, and freedom to government

But the cooling has been far from ubiquitous and the Arctic-midlatitude link has been difficult to detect in simulations by global computer models. Instead, the models point more strongly toward the gradual, longer-term trend of milder midlatitude winters that one would expect in a human-warmed climate. (A separate line of research is addressing extremes during the summer, such as the unprecedented heat wave that struck the Pacific Northwest in June; see below.)

And those models, when you read through the soft-peddling

In this study and others, Screen and Blackport suggest that the connection between Arctic sea ice loss and extreme midlatitude events is real, but not necessarily causal. Instead, they argue, a third factor — most likely large-scale changes in atmospheric circulation that may not be permanent — is probably driving both the sea ice loss and the extreme winter events.

It either does or doesn’t. “Suggest” means they have no clue, so, until they can scientifically prove it, it doesn’t. And that still would prove anthropogenic causation

At the same time, Francis maintains that global models can’t fully replicate the Arctic-midlatitude connection simply by adding or removing sea ice, especially if the results lump together conditions across a whole winter or the entire midlatitudes.

So, their models stink even worse that we thought.

The appeal of a counterintuitive idea

The appeal is blaming cold and snow and ice on citizens to gain control over them. And the Warmists never think this will negatively affect themselves.

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16 Responses to “That Whole ‘Climate Change’ Is Messing With The Winter Jet Stream? Never Mind”

  1. drowningpuppies says:

    Another failed prognostication from alarmists based on computer models.
    Pfft!

    #TheScienceIsSettled
    Bwaha! Lolgfy https://www.thepiratescove.us/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_cool.gif

  2. Hairy says:

    Teach
    Are there currently any other reasons that might explain the shift in the Jetstream? We do know that tge zarctic is warming much faster than most aces
    We do know that arctic ice is continuing to decrease
    As of today it looksije it is tied gor lowest with 2012
    Nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
    The Arctic Ocean is 14 million sqkm
    This sumner in September it will not be totally ice free, just 90% ice free

  3. Elwood P. Dowd says:

    Teach: It either does or doesn’t. “Suggest” means they have no clue, so, until they can scientifically prove it, it doesn’t.

    Scientific theories are not proven. To believe otherwise “suggests” that Teach doesn’t understand the scientific method.

    Although some continue to deny the facts, the Earth is warming. The temperature record is the data. Over a century ago Professor Svante Arrhenius demonstrated that carbon dioxide absorbed electromagnetic radiation in the infrared range, even predicting that increased atmospheric CO2 could increase the Earth’s surface temperature! Scientists also measured increases in atmospheric CO2 – more data. Not so surprisingly atmospheric CO2 was proportional to the amount of CO2 emitted by our burning of fossil fuels. Such are the makings of hypotheses and theories: increased atmospheric CO2 is causing the Earth’s surface and atmosphere to warm.

    Teach accuses scientists of faking data in the cause of communists scamming patriots for CONTROL!

    • Kye says:

      “Scientific theories are not proven.” Theories about anything are not proven, that’s what a theory is. A theory is used to justify a course of action, IOW it is not fact or truth.

      Our communal distrust of science, as a whole (and not just the psychiatric fields as had been the case for so long), was really kicked into high gear with the global warming hysteria. When you weren’t allowed to question or challenge findings, it was clear science was compromised.

      Those among us who are weak of mind or unable to rationalize logically often fall for “science” and it’s supposed “experts” as the be-all end-all for their pre determined goals. Haven’t you noticed those foolish enough to be touting climate “science” for the last 50 years with all the incorrect math, all the false predictions and all the reversals (ice age to global warming) are the same weak minded fools wo have bought into the Red Chinese Flu panic and all the idiocy connected to it? These are also the idiots who want “sex” removed from birth certificates, believe males can become females, that men can menstruate and have babies and that all races are the same.

      These are people who run on emotion and use “feel good” theories to justify their emotional responses. Their supposed scientists are as barren as Fauxci and their ideas are bereft of any fact based and provable science. Yet they insist they be obeyed.

      The doctors who attacked WuFlu with hydroxychloroquine were pilloried as badly as Galileo was by the Church. Same result as those who question any ‘established science’, like anthropogenetic global warming (the theory that humans are driving global warming). Replace “the Church” with “Big Science”, and you find people like the execrable Michael Mann in the role of Archimedes as The Unimpeachable Authority of AGW.

      The aim of Leftism is to destroy any authority not its own. Thus the attacks on religion, scientific inquiry, and freedom of speech. Anything that might call Leftism into question must be infiltrated, corrupted, and destroyed, so that there can be no inquiry or criticism of The Left. Thus, men can become women, God is dead, and the elite rule over all the serfs–an iron boot smashing on a human face, forever.

      The caveat is what Elwood does here: “Teach accuses scientists of faking data in the cause of communists scamming patriots for CONTROL!” LIES, pure LIES. Teach has never stated any sort of belief to my recollection. Teach accuses scientists (like Fauxci who lied about the origin of Wuhan ) of faking data and outright lying for personal gain or partisan political goals. You are a false accuser and a dirty liar and should never be believed about anything least wise what you think about science or believe about Teach.

      Why do you hate America so much? And White people, and Christians, and Jews, and science?

      • Elwood P. Dowd says:

        Galileo Galilei was sentenced to house arrest until his death. No one was arrested or punished for prescribing or advocating hydroxychloroquine which was demonstrated ineffective against Covid-19. They WERE criticized. Tell us, why did tRump’s doctors at Walter Reed administer drugs with demonstrated efficacy rather than hydroxychloroquine? Why are nuGOP elites all getting vaccinated yet hypocritically dissuading their “followers” from getting vaccinated or even wearing masks?

        People such as Kye and Teach are more than anything conspiracists, believing malevolent forces with barely hidden motives are seeking to rule them. Like any “religion”, their beliefs substitute for reason or self examination. Like all cultists, they require a charismatic head.

        Their distrust of the scientific method (which they don’t understand), belief in miracles and magic, exempifies the nuConservative, know-nothingism that has spread through the trumpism movement.

        Do you believe that the mRNA vaccines are mutating DNA? Do you believe that the vaccines kill more Americans than does Covid (as does Teach and jimhoft)? Do you believe that mask mandates are intended to make American citizens more “compliant” for the coming DemFascistSocialistCommie takeover rather than as a public health safeguard? Do you believe that “global warming” is a scam promoted by DemCommie scientists in cahoots with the international communist movement?

        • Kye says:

          And yet you continue to lie, prevaricate and obfuscate and when that fails the name calling begins. Way to go loser.

          Here is an opinion about your “experts”. Of course since you won’t like the source you won’t read the opinion. It would “trigger” your small emotional brain.
          ow
          You still after all these months refuse to tell us why you hate America, Christians, White people, Jews and now science. Therefore I will not answer any of the (loaded and false premised) questions you pose.

  4. Jl says:

    Another in the “science is settled” department-the exact same weather patterns were blamed on global cooling in the 70s. https://realclimatescience.com/2018/10/science-understanding-the-jet-stream/

  5. Elwood P. Dowd says:

    Enjoy your skeet shooting.

    Of course anything in AmericanThinker is suspect and especially by an author associated with the Cornwall Alliance as is Mr. Vijay Jayaraj.

    The Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation is a conservative Christian public policy group that claims that a free-market approach to care for the environment is sufficient, and is critical of much of the current environmental movement. The Alliance is “engaged in a wide range of antienvironmental activities” and in particular denies man-made global warming.

    We believe Earth and its ecosystems – created by God’s intelligent design and infinite power and sustained by His faithful providence – are robust, resilient, self-regulating, and self-correcting, admirably suited for human flourishing, and displaying His glory. Earth’s climate system is no exception. Recent global warming is one of many natural cycles of warming and cooling in geologic history.

    We deny that Earth and its ecosystems are the fragile and unstable products of chance, and particularly that Earth’s climate system is vulnerable to dangerous alteration because of minuscule changes in atmospheric chemistry. Recent warming was neither abnormally large nor abnormally rapid. There is no convincing scientific evidence that human contribution to greenhouse gases is causing dangerous global warming.

    The entire global warming denial apparatus is based on two pillars – religion and fossil fuel marketing. You’re being used.

    • drowningpuppies says:

      Of course anything offered by Rimjob, dipshit that he is, is not only suspect but total horseshit.

      #TheVoicesWontGoAway
      Bwaha! Lolgf https://www.thepiratescove.us/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_cool.gif

    • est1950 says:

      Can you post on Sundays Elwood after your bosses found out your trolling the internet instead of working?

      As an Aside.

      The entire global warming denial apparatus is based on two pillars – religion and fossil fuel marketing. You’re being used.

      The entire AGW movement is based upon the denial apparatus of a tripod of pillars. Anti-Religion, Fossil fuel destruction and CHINESE paychecks hitting the mail every week.

      • Elwood P. Dowd says:

        est types: Can you post on Sundays Elwood after your bosses found out your trolling the internet instead of working?

        Did you contact my organization? I’ve yet to hear from them.

        Years ago a right-wing local radio host (who hosted jimhoft weekly) threatened to contact my then employer to let them know that I emailed him every morning correcting his radio errors heard on my drive to work. Not sure the big pussy did or not, but wouldn’t have mattered. He was kicked off both his radio and TV show in St Louis for threatening to ass-rape Stoneman HS massacre survivor David Hogg.

        Anyway, est, I criticize right-wing louts at my leisure. It’s likely that other commenters here have already contacted a corporation I co-founded whining about being criticized. So, knock yourself out, if you can’t compete with your “ideas”, such as they are. Right-wing Cancel Culture in full fledge. I’ve had my home address posted on a terrorist website, so you’re nothing to me. Peace out, 870!

        • drowningpuppies says:

          Rimjob: Did you contact my organization?

          Do you mean NAMBLA?
          Thanks dipshit, you’re quite the arrogant little keyboard tough guy.

          #TrustUs
          Bwaha! Lolgf https://www.thepiratescove.us/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_cool.gif

        • est1950 says:

          Actually I was only making a joke. Your personal life means nothing to me, even though I wish you and yours no harm. I have always said I am not afraid of a real debate of ideas. Anytime you wish to engage I am always willing to bless you with a thoughtful reply.

          The real question is if your address was posted to a terrorist website how come you have not had to move? Are the terrorists afraid of you? Or do you consider The Southern Baptists, Terrorists?

    • Jl says:

      Our J strikes again-he really can’t refute anything that was said, so instead he goes after the messenger instead of the message. By the way, if you read carefully the Think Progress article at the beginning Agrees with the “warmer world causing a wavy jetstream-that’s what they were reporting on. But thanks for criticizing a publication that agreed with your cult…

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