Here’s Lord Monckton posting at Watts Up With That?
The Great Pause has now persisted for 17 years 11 months. Indeed, to three decimal places on a per-decade basis, there has been no global warming for 18 full years. Professor Ross McKitrick, however, has upped the ante with a new statistical paper to say there has been no global warming for 19 years.
Whichever value one adopts, it is becoming harder and harder to maintain that we face a “climate crisis†caused by our past and present sins of emission.
Taking the least-squares linear-regression trend on Remote Sensing Systems’ satellite-based monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature dataset, there has been no global warming – none at all – for at least 215 months.
This is the longest continuous period without any warming in the global instrumental temperature record since the satellites first watched in 1979. It has endured for half the satellite temperature record. Yet the Great Pause coincides with a continuing, rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration.
I know Warmists love to call this “cherry picking”, and yammer about “why’d you pick that starting point? Huh? Huh? Huh?”, failing to realize (or acknowledge, because of their dogmatic religious fervor and typical dishonesty) that we are working backwards from the current time. So, don’t even go there, Warmists, you’ll just (continue to) beclown yourselves. HADCRUT shows now statistically significant warming for 19 years (that’s surface level). Dr. Ross McKittrick has the pause at 16-26 years looking at lower tropsophere data (see the link in the excerpt above). Matt Ridley notes, in a separate article that references Dr. McKittrick’s study
Two years before Mr. Whitehouse’s article, climate scientists were already admitting in emails among themselves that there had been no warming since the late 1990s. “The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998,†wrote Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia in Britain in 2005. He went on: “Okay it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.â€
If the pause lasted 15 years, they conceded, then it would be so significant that it would invalidate the climate-change models upon which policy was being built. A report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) written in 2008 made this clear: “The simulations rule out (at the 95% level) zero trends for intervals of 15 yr or more.â€
The current Pause most assuredly invalidates Warmist computer models, hence the propaganda that we’re doomed sometime in the next 40-60 years, and warming will start anytime now, as well as all their excuses as to why there has been no statistically significant warming for over 15+ years. When Warmists are not simply proclaiming there is no Pause because their computer models are more important that actual data.
