This is something that has been on the back burner since meteorologists started saying there could be a huge El Nino this year, but, suddenly over the last 24 hours there are a ton of news organizations running with this, so, obviously, someone or organization is pushing this and the “independent” news media
A strong El Nino may be imminent. Climate change will make its effects worse
The El Nino weather pattern is forming, and is expected to cause extreme weather around the world this year, the WMO said on Tuesday. Scientists say climate change will make ?its impact especially severe.
The World Meteorological Organization said there is an 80% chance that an El Nino event develops between June and August, and a 90% ?chance it will last until at least November. The statement is the clearest signal yet of the likelihood.
The El Nino phenomenon naturally occurs every two to seven years, when weakening trade winds result in warmer waters in the eastern Pacific. The result tends to be higher global temperatures, and disrupted rainfall – meaning drought in some regions, heavy rains in others. It also affects hurricane formation.
Two things make this year’s forecast particularly worrying.
The first is the ?chance that this year’s El Nino – and its impact – will be stronger than typical.
The WMO said there was still uncertainty, and some models predict a “strong” El Nino while others ?do not. WMO forecasts suggest a strong El Nino is possible, defined by sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific of at least 1.5 ?degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above average.
Are these the same models that predict rain and we get none? The models that failed to anticipate the massive dry spot running from north of Raleigh all the way to Wilmington during the last snow event, while the amateurs predicted it? The models that predict a foot of snow and we get a trace? The models that prognosticate massive sea rise and temperatures by 2050/2100 which make zero sense in reality?
The second cause for concern is climate change.
Greenhouse gas emissions have increased the planet’s average temperature by around 1.3C since pre-industrial times.
That higher baseline supercharges the effects ?of El Nino – enabling higher temperature spikes, more intense droughts, heatwaves, rains, and the resulting disasters, including bushfires, floods and crop failures.
“When we get an El Nino, because of the underlying climate change … ?these things become more intensified and they’re more impactful,” said Piers Forster, Professor of Physical Climate Change at the University of Leeds.

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