Doom: Extreme Heat Due To You Eating Burgers To Last To 2022

This is all your fault

(USA Today) This summer’s heat has shattered records around the Northern Hemisphere, from Algeria to Canada and Japan to California. New research suggests this could be only the beginning of a four-year global “warm spell.”

Using a new forecasting technique, scientists in a study published Tuesday predict that the rest of 2018 through 2022 may be warmer than expected around the world as human-caused global warming and natural factors combine to heat the planet.

“The coming warm period is associated with an increased likelihood of intense to extreme temperatures,” the study says.

Scientists say that although the Earth will be warmer than average overall, it may not be hot everywhere for everyone:

“We are not predicting another heat wave – a warmer year doesn’t always mean (that),” study lead author Florian Sevellec told Deutsche Welle. “That’s because the forecast only covers global mean temperatures, not regional temperatures in certain parts of the world.”

That last bit is a way to weasel out. Altogether, this isn’t quite as doomy as other prognostications, as I look across at stories on this at other outlets, such as the UK Independent. It’s more of a soft shoe type “we’re doomed”

The researchers built their forecasting system by statistical “hind-casting,” according to The Guardian. This crunches the data from previous climate models to measure which combination was most effective in predicting past temperature trends.

OK.

Weather.us meteorologist Ryan Maue, who was not involved in the research, wonders whether the study “was really telling us anything new. The methodology is a statistical fit to previous (historical) data and climate model scenarios.”

In addition, he says, “there are no physics here – no El Niño or ocean dynamics.”

“The extreme warmth of … 2016 was caused by the strong El Niño, and we have been ‘stepped up’ at the global temperature level now for two to three years,” Maue says. “Thus, to skillfully predict global temperatures, you need to replicate the mechanisms that are actually changing the global temperature (such as El Niño).”

Still, even if this happens, it’s not proof that the warming is mostly/solely caused by Mankind, as the Cult of Climastrology Believes.

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4 Responses to “Doom: Extreme Heat Due To You Eating Burgers To Last To 2022”

  1. Jeffery says:

    At what point would deniers concede that the predicted warming trend might just largely result from greenhouse gases?

    Deniers keep claiming that the warming (that they finally recognized) is natural variability – but the trend is decidedly one way – up – 0.6 C since 1980!

    The Earth warms and cools from physical forces, not magic. Aerosols, albedo, volcanoes, shifts in the orbit, insolation, changes in heat distribution between the atmosphere and the oceans, greenhouse gases all play a role in determining the Earth’s average surface temperature.

    • drowningpuppies says:

      MOO, mofo.
      https://www.thepiratescove.us/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_cool.gif

    • formwiz says:

      There was a predicted trend 2 years ago that fell through. Lots of predictions are wrong. Especially ones based on cooked data.

      Greenhouse gases influence volcanoes, shifts in the orbit?

      Put down the pipe, seek help.

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