The Great Pause Hits 18 Years, 7 Months

Members of the Cult of Climastrology like to throw out talking points stating that 2014 was the hottest year ever! Satellite data doesn’t support that. Sure, if we use ground data that has been massage to death, we can arrive at that point. The raw data, and the satellite data, fails to support the “we’re doomed” prognostications. Here’s Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, who will be roundly attacked, as usual

For 223 months, since January 1997, there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). This month’s RSS temperature shows the Pause setting a new record at 18 years 7 months.

It is becoming ever more likely that the temperature increase that usually accompanies an el Niño will begin to shorten the Pause somewhat, just in time for the Paris climate summit, though a subsequent La Niña would be likely to bring about a resumption and perhaps even a lengthening of the Pause.

The hiatus period of 18 years 7 months is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend. The start date is not cherry-picked: it is calculated. And the graph does not mean there is no such thing as global warming. Going back further shows a small warming rate.

The Pause has now drawn blood. In the run-up to the world-government “climate” conference in Paris this December, the failure of the world to warm at all for well over half the satellite record has provoked the climate extremists to resort to desperate measures to try to do away with the Pause.

Obviously, you should read the entire article, with all the facts and figures and charts.

Does this invalidate warming? No. Lord Monckton will tell you that, and has told you that, just as I have, and will, tell you that. The Earth is currently in a low level Holocene warm period, and has been since around 1850. The debate is not on warming, but causation. Cult of Climastrology members will tell you that it is mostly/solely caused by Mankind, yet, for all their caterwauling, they refuse to change their own lives and use of fossil fuels to match their beliefs set.

This in no way means that warming may not restart: there have been several periods where the warming flatlined, and one where it dipped (late 1940’s to late 1970’s), before warming resumed. There has been a meager 1.4F increase in global temperatures since 1850, making this a low level warming period.

What this does do is highlight the utter failure of the computer models that the CoC relies on to make unhinged prognostications and politicians and interest groups use to push Government dominated rules, regulations, and laws, which provide massive government control of our lives, private entities, and economies. If the computer models failed to predict the Pause, and CoC members have to tro out over 70 excuses, one might wonder if their prognostications for the future might well be completely worthless.

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9 Responses to “The Great Pause Hits 18 Years, 7 Months”

  1. ClimateOtter says:

    They are up to 70 excuses now, for why the Pause is occurring- and some of those excuses include The SUN, which they have spent the last 30 years telling us has NO influence upon the climate.

  2. John says:

    Teach the say data is much more heavily “massaged ” it constantly must be corrected because of age deteriorating. Orbits and many other factors
    All the other data are consistent with each other
    The Sara do not measure the boundary layer of the atmosphere
    Where we live
    It measure the troposphere
    And recording lower temps there is consistent with the heat being absorbed lower by the CO2
    Again the U.S. navy has just released a long publication regarding the national security implications of a warming planet
    Apparently they don’t put. Much stock in your pause

    • jl says:

      The ground based data, which has been constantly massaged, needs to be corrected for “age deterioration”? Confusing-a number is a number. How does a number age? “Orbits and many other factors”. John-it’s the ground based data that’s been tampered with. “It measure the troposphere”. I take that “it” means a satellite and it “measures the trop.” Sorry John, but the warmunists said that the troposphere would warm first, but it hasn’t. And who cares what the U.S. Navy thinks about a giant fraud?

  3. drowningpuppies says:

    The Sara do not measure the boundary layer of the atmosphere
    Where we live
    It measure the troposphere

    Once again ‘tarded johnny reveals his weapons grade stupidity.

    The troposphere is the lowest layer of Earth’s atmosphere. The troposphere starts at Earth’s surface (uh, where we live) and goes up to a height of 7 to 20 km (4 to 12 miles, or 23,000 to 65,000 feet) above sea level. Most of the mass (about 75-80%) of the atmosphere is in the troposphere. Almost all weather occurs within this layer. Air is warmest at the bottom of the troposphere near ground level. Higher up it gets colder.

  4. Jeffery says:

    That’s great! The Earth has stopped warming according to Chris Monckton!

    The satellites do not use thermometers, contrary to Monckton’s lies. In fact the satellite temp data is MORE “massaged” than the surface temp record.

    The oceans, the atmosphere and the land continue to warm from the CO2 we keep dumping into the atmosphere. Monckton is lying to you. So is Teach. Monckton knows better.

    • drowningpuppies says:

      The satellites do not use thermometers, contrary to Monckton’s lies. In fact the satellite temp data is MORE “massaged” than the surface temp record

      So can little jeffy provide any proof that satellite temp measurements are less reliable than “ground based thermometer” measurements?

  5. davi7134 says:

    No Jeff, you are wrong. Please give a table with raw data. Can’t.

  6. jl says:

    Yes, and not a lot of the Urban Heat Island Effect up there to skew the readings toward warming like there is with ground-based readings.

  7. Liam Thomas says:

    Interestingly enough if you take the table above and lay it on an overhead projector and then take the table of the same time frame showing El Nino’s and La Nina’s they seem to correlate almost exactly.

    Incidently both the AGW crowd and Monckton are being intellectually dishonest with their respective graphing. AGW uses an inclining line and Moncton just raises the bar and uses a straight line attempting to show no heating has occurred….They are both right….the problem for the laymen who cant read the nuances of the chart is that this is misleading………

    but I digress.

    In fact this is an exercise I just did when lecturing on the current weather patterns as they pertain to environmental impacts on one of our latest projects overseas.

    Many people are afraid of the weather. And they should be. The weather is changing no doubt a result of many, many factors. These factors are MORE or LESS intense based upon the location of any project we undertake.

    What actually affects the weather locally and makes it more or less extreme in these areas? WEll I won’t bore you with the same lecture that I give to Clients but it goes something like this.

    1. Topography.
    2. The current and projected Environmental contamination or put more succinctly the local urban sprawl that would most closely affect our project commissioned by the government.)
    3. Weather Patterns of El Nino and La Nina. These are very significant world wide and they both affect almost the entire world when they occur.
    4. Ground water run off.
    5. Underground Stabilization of subsurface strata….or how deep bedrock is and what its composition is regarding the current project.
    6. Wind patterns, Cloud stratus and air density and humidity.

    In building massive projects for nearly 40 years its been my fortune to study the geology and the weather and what I find is that indeed the weather seems to be changing.

    But the overwhelming evidence I have been able to gather is that urban sprawl accounts for most of the unique weather patterns we are seeing. As you get anywhere near a town of any size you have Significant upwelling or thermal venting which acts precisely like superplooms in the oceans but on dry land…….

    These superplooms tend to alter entire weather zones around the world and make for a continual change in weather patterns as these superplumes change the weather patterns continually around the world.

    And now from my perspective…you know the rest of the story.

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