They can’t help themselves. Interestingly, the excuses include natural forces for the pause, but these same Warmists won’t acknowledge natural forces for the warming, except perhaps for a tiny, tiny bit
(The Hockey Schtick) A paper published today in Nature Climate Change adds the eighth excuse for the ‘pause’ in global warming: strengthened Pacific trade winds, which according to the authors, were “not captured [simulated] by climate models.” On the basis of those same highly-flawed climate models, the authors predict rapid global warming will resume in a decade or so when those trade winds abate.
Climate Depot Analysis: ‘There have been at least seven separate explanations for the standstill in global warming’ – 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor
Here’s that paper
An article published online today in Nature Climate Change investigates how strengthened Pacific trade winds can account for 0.1C- 0.2C of cooling through increased subsurface ocean heat uptake – this is enough to account for much of the temperature slowdown in the so called global warming pause.
Global average surface temperatures rose sharply during the second half of the 20th century before leveling off since the late 1990s despite a continuing increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. Scientists have yet to fully explain the recent slowdown in the rise of air temperatures attributed to the so called global warming pause that, on at least one measure, has lasted for over 17 years.
Much of what they are positioning is that the warming was the fault of Mankind, but the pause was nature. And they say that warming, per all their flawed computer models, will soon come back in force. Cult.
Anthony Watts notes that we were told something completely different about the trade winds a few years ago.
Jo Nova has the trade winds issue in a nutshell (make sure to read the whole post)
1. It is almost as if climate modelers finally discover the PDO cycle. Akasofu (and many many other skeptics) have been pointing out the obvious, and making predictions on it, for years.
2. Perhaps the trade-winds are affecting the climate. But what drives the trade-winds? The models can’t predict the trade-winds until they understand what drives them. If it turns out to be cloud cover changes, or lunar orbits, or solar magnetic effects, cosmic ray effects, or all of the above… that means there is another whole factor or lots of them that the models did not include. Every warming factor added to the models reduces the power of CO2 as a driver.
3. Internal Variability means “we have no idea what is going on”.
But, the cult is uber-thrilled over the study. Warmist sites like Grist and Climate Progress have jumped all over it. They have no idea what is going on, but they’ll still make dire predictions for the far future. It’s all about keeping the money train and cult going. And the hardcore progressive politics.