A New Year’s Prediction Challenge For Climate Alarmists

Happy New Year’s! Welcome to 2013! And one year closer to End Of Life As We Know it. 2150 and 2200 are fast approaching, the primary dates that the climate alarmists always want to use to denote when Earth is going to burn, baby, burn in fire, dan dan daaaan, fire, dan dan daaaaan.

New Year’s is usually a time when we make resolutions which we abandon when we realize that chocolate, bacon, and beer are great (and bacon cooked in beer and covered with chocolate!) In the blogosphere, we often make predictions for the New Year. Instead, how about a challenge?

For a long time, the alarmists have been making predictions as to what the climate will do. They say in 10 years, 50, 100. Instead, why not, say, make predictions for……2013! What I want for them to do, from the biggest of big climahypocrites, such as Al Gore, James Hansen, Barack Obama, and Leonardo DiCaprio, to the smallest climate dupes, is tell us exactly what the climate will do this year. For some of these questions, I’m using the USA, but, alarmists from around the world can use their own country/region, if they like:

  • What will the average temperature of the Earth be for 2013? Most scientists place it at 59 degrees F (15 C). How far above, or below, will it be?
  • What will the average temperature be for the USA?  The rough average for the USA is 53 F.
  • How many tropical systems will there be in the Atlantic? How many will hit the USA?
  • What will the four seasons do in 2013? Warmer, colder, hotter, wetter? Tell us
  • What will each month look like in the USA? How about in your home state?
  • Which months will be above average, and which ones below, temperature wise?
  • What states will have big floods, and during what months?
  • What will tornado season look like?
  • How many destructive thunderstorms will there be, and in which states?
  • How many “extreme” weather events will there be?
  • How much ice will the poles gain/lose?
  • Will the Arctic be ice free this summer?
  • What will the average precipitation be for your home city? Average temperature? Average low’s and highs?
  • How many earthquakes will there be (since, apparently, climate change/globull warming creates earthquakes)?
  • Pick an island, and tell us how much the sea will rise around it.

There are many, many, many more questions that can be asked, but, I know what the alarmists are thinking: “Teach, that is weather, not climate! I refuse to participate!” Ah, but, what, exactly, is climate? Let’s pull a couple good definitions

  • Climate encompasses the statistics of temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, rainfall, atmospheric particle count and numerous other meteorological elements in a given region over long periods of time
  • Climate is the average weather conditions at a particular place over a long period of time. Climate is the long-term predictable state of the atmosphere. It is affected by physical features such as mountains, rivers, positioning of the globe, plateaus, deserts, depressions and much more.
  • The general or typical atmospheric conditions for a place and/or period of time. Conditions include rainfall, temperature, thunderstorms, lightning, freezes, etc.

Notice, “long term predictable.” Weather and other natural forces create climate. And right now the alarmists are saying “but, Teach, one year is not considered to be a “long period of time!”” Well, you have plenty of data available for the long term, and, with all your vast knowledge of what the climate is doing, due to man’s release of greenhouse gases, surely you alarmists can make predictions for 2013 based on that long term data, and be mostly correct, right? Surely, you aren’t afraid to make predictions for this year, and tell us what the climate during 2013 will do, right? But, you have to make your predictions, and can’t go back and change them up as the year goes on. And at the end of the year, we will see how well you have done.

Plus, all you Warmists are now blaming every single weather event, whether it be hot, cold, wet, dry, on “climate change”, a completely unscientific phrase. You’re also blaming every geophysical event, such as earthquakes and volcanoes, on “climate change”.

Any alarmist up for the challenge? And no cheating be reading the Farmer’s Almanac, which tends to be right way more than the Met, NASA, UN IPCC, and other alarmist groups are. Forget about your PR blitzes, “spreading awareness” campaigns, your advocacy, your stunts, and tell us what will happen. If you’re correct, for a change, maybe people will start to believe you again.

Oh, and a second challenge:

  • How much will you reduce your fossil fuels usage by?
  • Will you give up fossil fuels altogether?
  • Will you go “carbon neutral?”
  • Will you start taking 2 minute showers?
  • Will you give up your ice maker?
  • Will you promise to unplug every appliance when not in use?
  • Will you shop local?

Those are just a few of the things you can do to practice what you preach. Will you do it?

Crossed at Right Wing News and Stop The ACLU

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5 Comments

Comment by john
2013-01-01 10:37:25

Teach Americans are reducing their carbon footprint. It is now at its lowest in decades. Americans are changing. And as for predictions sure, you go first. Hope you do better than you did with Obama/Romney. But no short term ones since they are inherently more erratic.

 
Comment by William Teach
2013-01-01 11:35:51

So you won’t take the challenge, John? I’m utterly shocked.

 
Comment by Gumball_Brains Subscribed to comments via email
2013-01-01 18:59:42

ummm… if gdp is increasing (supposedly) and people are willing to pay more in taxes, then that usually equates to them living easier better lives. And thus, they have larger footprints. And so far, all we’ve heard from any of the green leaders is how others should change first.

Teach.. that video explains everything that started our country down a very dark path. (shudder)

And, never expect a Troll who lives in his mom’s basement closet, hugging her trusses, to live in reals-ville.

 
Comment by Zachriel
2013-01-02 07:55:06

William Teach: tell us exactly what the climate will do this year

Strawman.

 
Comment by Gumball_Brains Subscribed to comments via email
2013-01-02 10:01:40

We leave the first moves up to the Socialist liberals and “green” communists as they are the ones screaming in panic over a melting exploding earth. It is they who rely heavily upon climate models to predict temperatures to within a tenth of a degree in 20-100 years. We’ve been berated with these models for the last 30 years. So, we should have a good day to day schedule of what the temperatures will be…. based on past climate models.

And the anti-business, anti-job, anti-energy greenies tell us that the only way to keep us from hitting these MODELED temperatures is to spend trillions of dollars on cap and trade or by turning in to a non-industrial nation.

So, with everything on the line, … answer the questions.

So far we have seen that even the most nicest models have overplayed their hand and over-calculated current temps and GHG levels. Heck, my local weather station who has 70 years of weather experience for our local climate can’t even get correct temperatures a week out – let alone actual weather patterns.

 

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