Had you simply stopped showering every day and voted Democrat we could have stopped this
Scientists See Growing Risk of ‘Hothouse Earth’ as Warming Gains Pace
Warming is accelerating, threatening a cascade of tipping points that destabilize the climate. In a new paper, scientists say the risk of “hothouse Earth” is greater than once believed.
“After a million years of oscillating between ice ages separated by warmer periods, the Earth’s climate stabilized more than 11,000 years ago, enabling agriculture and complex societies,” said William Ripple of Oregon State University, lead author of the paper. “We’re now moving away from that stability and could be entering a period of unprecedented climate change.”
First, there is no such thing as truly stable. Over the past 8K years we’ve had numerous warm and cool periods, and, since we do not have full world wide data we cannot make an accurate, scientific comparison to previous warm periods. Further, if they have to describe warming as ‘climate change’, all measure of science has been run over by a steamroller.
A decade ago, countries set forth in the Paris Agreement a target of capping warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius. Earth is now likely breaching that threshold. The world has not officially surpassed the Paris target, which will be judged according to the average temperature over 20 years, but the average temperature over the last three years exceeded 1.5 degrees.
“Likely breaching” but not officially surpassed. Uh huh.
Scientists say that the Earth is likely as hot or hotter than at any point in the last 125,000 years, while carbon dioxide levels are at their highest in at least 2 million years. And warming is gaining pace as the ability of the planet to soak up our emissions weakens. Forests that were once carbon sinks are becoming carbon sources as they succumb to fire and drought, while the oceans are losing the capacity to absorb carbon dioxide.
“Likely” is not a scientific measure. They also do realize that life on Earth survived much warmer periods, right? And that the oceans were much warmer and much higher (that’s how you get coral islands), right? Well, no. Not in Cult World.
Scientists warn that the crossing of one tipping point can push the Earth past another, in a domino effect. The melting of the Greenland ice sheet, for instance, could weaken Atlantic currents, disrupting rainfall over the Amazon. A cascade of tipping points could bring about “hothouse Earth,” said coauthor Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany. “Our paper shows that we’re not there yet — but we’re very close.”
They’ve been saying the same thing for at least 20+ years and will be saying the same thing for at least 20 more. Could they tell us when hothouse Earth is supposed to appear?
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Perfesser William typed: “Likely” is not a scientific measure.
It most certainly is. Science is not about certainty but probabilities. The concept of global warming can be refuted with new data.
It’s likely that the Earth is warmer now than at any time in the Holocene. CO2 is likely the highest in a million years. It’s not a coin toss or 50/50.
Both the temperature and CO2 levels prior to a hundred or so years ago are derived by proxies. For example, air bubbles in ice for CO2.
CO2 levels from 100,000 years ago are primarily estimated by drilling deep ice cores in Antarctica and Greenland. Scientists crush these ice cores, which contain trapped air bubbles from ancient snowfall, and analyze them to measure the concentration of in that prehistoric air.
Temperature records are estimated using various proxies…
Ice Cores: Drilled from glaciers, these contain trapped air bubbles and oxygen isotopes that provide data on atmospheric composition and temperature over hundreds of thousands of years.
Tree Rings: Wide rings indicate warmer, wetter years, while narrow rings indicate colder, drier ones, offering yearly records of climate.
Ocean/Lake Sediments: Layers of sediment contain fossils of microorganisms (like foraminifera) whose chemical composition, particularly oxygen isotope ratios, correlates with historical water temperatures.
Coral Reefs: Coral grow in layers, similar to trees, allowing scientists to analyze isotope ratios to reconstruct detailed, year-by-year (or sometimes seasonal) ocean temperature records.
Pollen/Fossils: Preserved in lake beds or bogs, pollen indicates the type of vegetation that grew in a region, which is dependent on temperature and climate.
Speleothems (Cave Deposits): Stalactites and stalagmites grow slowly and hold chemical signatures of past temperature and rainfall.
Climate skeptics claim that thousands of climate scientists are either badly mistaken or dishonest.
“Thousands of climate scientists….”
The well-known scientific principle of “we allegedly have more guys on our side so we’re right!”
Tens of thousands of experts. Your ignorance and beliefs should overrule expertise?
Do you believe they are mistaken or dishoenst?
Oh the old logical fallacy of the “appeal to authority” argument from Rimjob.
Then the rhetorical questions.
Pathetic.
If they’re right, it only takes one. If they’re wrong, it only takes one, so consensus is irrelevant.
“Your ignorance…..”. Ignorance on what? This should be good…..
On science and the scientific method. Duh.
Jl typed: “If they’re right, it only takes one. If they’re wrong, it only takes one, so consensus is irrelevant.”
That’s ignorance of science right there. “Ignorance” is not an insult, just an observation.
Theories are not proven. Scientific findings are always provisional.
For example, based on the cumulative evidence, the medical consensus is that the measles vaccine is valuable in reducing the incidence of measles. Can that consensus be challenged? Of course. Is the vaccine more dangerous than measles? Unlikely, but possible. Now, societies must make decisions based on unproved theories!! Should we suspend all vaccinations until we are 100% certain that they 1) have no dangerous side effects and are 2) 100% effective?
With regard to global warming, some facts are available: CO2 is increasing; it’s from fossil fuel burning; CO2 absorbs IR wavelengths; the Earth (air, water, land) is warming. Is this proof? Nope. But it is evidence. We humans can not predict the future with absolute accuracy. Trump will average at least one lie per day for next week. Easy. But “The Earth will be approximately 4-6 degrees warmer than pre-industrial”, is predicted from the math but less certain (est 50-60% likely) than trump lying (est 100% likely) without changes.
Another repetition of an overly long Rimjob copy&paste that is apropos of nothing.
Pathetic.
Lil CumBreath is correct.
I copy and pasted the ignorant comment from Jl: “If they’re right, it only takes one. If they’re wrong, it only takes one, so consensus is irrelevant.”
Pathetic.
…and you’re inauthentic too.
What I said was of course true. People agreeing on a scientific matter doesn’t make it right-in the end, it’s irrelevant. There’s been many consensus views that have been shown to be false. “But it’s evidence”. As there’s evidence of more solar radiation reaching the earth through less cloud cover. “If it’s wrong it only takes one-that’s ignorance of science right there..” No less than Albert Einstein said the same thing when replying to the hundred or so disputing his work. “Why one hundred? If I’m wrong, it only takes one.”
Read on, ComBreath and see where you went off the rails…
An appeal to authority (argumentum ad verecundiam) is a logical fallacy where a claim is deemed true solely because an authority figure supports it, rather than based on evidence. It becomes fallacious when the authority lacks expertise, is biased, or is not the focus of a consensus. While experts can support arguments, they cannot prove them.
Evidence, expertise, focus of consensus.. experts support arguments..
Do better or shut up! Pathetic. Just pathetic. But expected.
It really is difficult for the Rimjob to keep things simple.
Sorry to keep showing you up but that’s what you did, dumbass, even if you won’t acknowledge it.
Pathetic.
Pathetic Lil CumBreath. Simpletons got to be simple!
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