Pirate's Cove

Is anyone surprised that it prognosticates worse doom?

New MIT climate model forecasts dangerous warming, despite surge in renewable energy

After yet another international climate summit ended last fall without binding commitments to phase out fossil fuels, a leading global climate model is offering a stark forecast for the decades ahead.

MIT’s “2025 Global Change Outlook” finds the world on track to exceed key climate thresholds under current policies. Even as renewable energy expands rapidly, population growth, and the need for more energy, is expected to erode many of those gains.

In addition to fueling deadly heat waves that already kill over half a million people each year, rising global temperatures are projected to intensify extreme weather while making precipitation more erratic, increasing the risk of flooding and drought, and disrupting agricultural production worldwide. The outlook warns these shifts would also accelerate biodiversity loss.

The outlook is based on MIT’s Integrated Global Systems Model, which links population growth, economic activity, energy use, and international policy decisions to changes in the global climate. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change has described it as “a comprehensive tool built to analyze interactions among humans and the climate system.”

So, what we need to do is kill a shitload of you humans, stop the rest from using energy (except that used for climate computers), and live like it’s 1499. It’s all so tiring.

Meanwhile