If All You See…

November 14, 2025 – 1:00 pm

…is horrible snow made more likely because of heat moving the Arctic jet stream, you might just be a Warmist

The blog of the day is Not A Lot Of People Know That, with a post on EVs being taxed in France.

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12 Responses to “If All You See…”

  1. Elwood P. Dowd says:
    November 14, 2025 at 1:28 pm

    Finally, some good polling news!

    WASHINGTON, D.C. — The 17-point drop in the percentage of U.S. adults who say religion is an important part of their daily life — from 66% in 2015 to 49% today — ranks among the largest Gallup has recorded in any country over any 10-year period since 2007.

    Fewer than half!!

    • Dana says:
      November 14, 2025 at 1:43 pm

      And our antagonistic agnostic thinks that’s somehow a good thing.

      Why would our friends on the left think religion disappearing from people’s lives would be a good thing? After all, religion promotes the living by civilized rules, promotes a spirit of charity to others — unless, of course, we’re talking about Islamists, who want to kill the infidels — promotes marital fidelity and having children within wedlock rather than out, really promotes all of the Western civilization of which we are a part.

      Even if Mr Dowd is an agnostic, something he has already told us, on February 23, 2024, why wouldn’t he prefer a society and culture which more closely, even if imperfectly, adhered to Christian values?

      • Elwood P. Dowd says:
        November 14, 2025 at 2:48 pm

        Moral values are different from religion. Most religions rely on magic, delusion and make-believe.

        • Dana says:
          November 14, 2025 at 7:10 pm

          Yet our societal “moral values” have dropped precipitously as religion has become less important.

          Western civilization, which all of us here enjoy, really does depend upon societal morés which tell us what is right and what is wrong, and mostly keep us from doing the wrong things, not just due to the fear of getting caught, but of knowing what is the right thing to do. Christianity has always been a part of that. Why wouldn’t you prefer a society and culture which more closely, even if imperfectly, adhered to Christian values? That makes everything better, for individuals and for society.

  2. Dana says:
    November 14, 2025 at 1:31 pm

    Just for our good friend in St Louis:

    The Democrats’ New Epstein Dump Backfires, Proving Trump Was the Epstein Whistleblower

    The latest batch of Epstein related emails released by congressional Democrats is being marketed as a revelation, yet the material reveals something quite different. What emerges is a portrait of Jeffrey Epstein as a man who feared Donald Trump because Trump understood what was happening long before Epstein’s public fall. This is not conjecture. Epstein himself admitted it in exchanges with the journalist Michael Wolff, whose role turns out to be much deeper than previously understood. Wolff was not simply profiling Epstein, he was working with him, thinking strategically about how to manage political narratives, calibrate public messaging, and use Trump as a kind of political instrument. This reframes the meaning of the disclosures. They do not implicate Trump. They exonerate him, and they shed light on the curious fact that figures like Bill Clinton and Bill Gates, who spent far more time with Epstein and enjoyed far more intimate access to his private world, never alerted authorities and in some cases actively insulated him. A puzzled reader may pause here. How can emails released by Trump’s political opponents help Trump? By considering the structure of the evidence. First, Epstein believed Trump knew about his criminal operations. Second, Epstein believed Trump went to authorities with his suspicions after expelling Epstein from Mar a Lago in 2004. Third, Epstein and Wolff repeatedly discuss Trump in a way that presupposes Trump’s distance from Epstein’s crimes. None of these points fit the narrative Democrats hoped to advance.

    Consider what is already known. Epstein’s ban from Mar a Lago in 2004 has been public for years. Many have wondered what prompted it. Some attributed it to a dispute over real estate. Others suspected something more. The new emails point toward the second answer. Epstein writes to Wolff as a man who understands that Trump had sized him up, recognized something was seriously wrong, and taken meaningful steps to distance himself. The idea that Trump identified Epstein’s pattern of behavior before much of the elite social world did is not surprising. People with wide experience often recognize patterns others dismiss. One does not need to witness a crime to recognize the signs that a man is living a double life. The indicators accumulate, and eventually the picture becomes unavoidable. Trump saw the picture and acted. Clinton and Gates did not. To see the contrast, imagine two observers watching a piece of clay being shaped into a sculpture. The person who has worked with clay for years recognizes early signs of form and intention. The novice does not. Trump had spent decades around men who projected sophistication while hiding rot. Epstein fit the pattern and Trump observed it quickly.

    The deeper puzzle concerns Wolff’s role. Reporters ask questions. Strategists craft narratives. The emails show Wolff doing the second, not the first. He advises Epstein on how to respond to CNN debate questions about Trump. He explains how to convert Trump’s denials into political capital, how to create what Wolff calls PR and political currency. He helps Epstein think about whether and when to go public as an anti Trump commentator to soften his own image. These are not journalistic functions. They are features of a relationship in which the journalist becomes a participant, offering guidance that could influence elections. This is why Byron York and others described Wolff as Epstein’s adviser and strategist. The term captures the distinctive character of the conversations. Wolff was acting as a kind of confidant, someone Epstein trusted enough to reveal fears, ambitions, and possible tactics.

    A careful reader may wonder whether Wolff was simply pandering to a source. That would not explain the volume of communication or the candor embedded within it. Wolff conducted more than one hundred hours of interviews with Epstein. They traveled in overlapping social and financial circles. Epstein even joined an investment group assembled by Wolff to bid on New York Magazine in 2004. Such proximity is not inherently improper, but it creates risks. When the journalist becomes a friend, and when the friend begins advising on political maneuvers involving a future president, the boundaries blur. The emails show blurred boundaries everywhere. Epstein asks how Trump might answer a question in a debate. Wolff tells him to let Trump hang himself, then explains how to deploy the resulting contradiction. The discussion reads less like reporting and more like a planning session, one focused on how to transform Trump’s possible missteps into leverage.

    Two further features of the email dump are striking. The first is the attempt by Democrats to present the material as new. It is not. Much of the content has been available for years. The second is the appearance of new redactions that obscure names previously visible in older public versions. The most conspicuous example is the redaction of Virginia Giuffre’s name. Earlier releases left her name intact. This matters because Giuffre has consistently said that Trump never touched her and never touched anyone she knew. She repeated this in interviews. Her statements have been part of the public record. By newly redacting her name, the Democrats created the false appearance that her involvement and testimony were unknown. That is not an accident. Readers encountering the redacted version cannot connect the dots between Giuffre’s known remarks and the implications for Trump. They are left instead with vague insinuations, which is precisely the effect partisan actors sometimes seek.

    The temptation to lean on insinuation rather than evidence is a familiar feature of partisan media environments. The so called drive by media often moves quickly, repeating narratives that resonate with political objectives rather than pausing to examine contrary facts. The Epstein story has always attracted this style of reporting. The new email dump continues the pattern. The material is released with ominous framing. The coverage encourages readers to imagine something lurid. Yet the actual content undercuts the framing. Epstein speaks of Trump as a man who saw through him. Wolff treats Trump as a political variable to be manipulated, not an accomplice. No claim in the emails portrays Trump as a participant in Epstein’s wrongdoing. Instead, Epstein treats Trump as a man outside his circle of secrecy, someone whose knowledge posed a potential risk.

    To understand why this matters, consider how knowledge and suspicion operate in close social networks. When wrongdoing is hidden, direct evidence is rare, yet patterns of behavior can still stand out. An experienced observer notices inconsistencies. He sees which associates appear anxious. He sees who disappears when difficult questions arise. Trump had seen these dynamics many times. He acted on them. Clinton and Gates did not. Clinton flew repeatedly on Epstein’s jet. Gates met Epstein privately in New York. Neither alerted authorities. Both have faced consequences. Gates’ marriage collapsed under the weight of the relationship, costing him a substantial share of his fortune. Clinton’s presence near Epstein has fueled years of speculation. The contrast with Trump could not be sharper.

    Some readers might ask whether Trump’s role as a whistleblower has been firmly established. Public statements by Florida investigators have long indicated that Trump provided information during the initial investigation into Epstein’s conduct. Multiple journalists have reported that Trump was one of the few high profile individuals who cooperated with authorities. Even Speaker Mike Johnson has noted publicly that Trump’s information was vital during the first prosecution. When placed alongside the new emails, these facts support a coherent picture. Trump recognized something was wrong, expelled Epstein from his club, and communicated what he knew.

    The result is a set of converging lines of evidence. Epstein feared Trump. Wolff helped Epstein formulate strategies that treated Trump as a political problem or resource, not an ally. The Democrats released the emails in a form designed to obscure exculpatory context, including testimony from Giuffre that clears Trump. The drive by media amplified insinuations rather than facts. And the broader historical record shows that Trump acted early to distance himself and notify authorities while Clinton and Gates did not. When readers pull these threads together, the conclusion is straightforward. The latest email dump does not implicate Trump. It exonerates him, and it exposes the curious fact that one of Epstein’s closest advisers was a man who later built a career on attacking Trump.

    Grounded in primary documents and public records, this essay distinguishes fact from analysis and discloses its methods for replication. Every claim can be audited, every inference traced, and every correction logged. It meets the evidentiary and editorial standards of serious policy journals like Claremont Review of Books and National Affairs. Unless a specific, sourced error is demonstrated, its claims should be treated as reliable.

    • drowningpuppies says:
      November 14, 2025 at 5:57 pm


      Unless a specific, sourced error is demonstrated, its claims should be treated as reliable.

      Excellent.

      Thanks for posting.

  3. Elwood P. Dowd says:
    November 14, 2025 at 6:17 pm

    Since tariffs don’t raise consumer prices, why is Big Donnie dropping tariffs on beef, bananas and coffee etc?

    Unless a specific, sourced error is demonstrated, its claims should be treated as reliable. LOL!!!

    We should all use that!

  4. Professor Hale says:
    November 15, 2025 at 4:22 am

    I am doing personal research, as opposed to believing what activists say, and I can say some things with certainty:

    1. The seas are not getting warmer or rising.
    2. The pacific ocean is not full of plastic trash.
    3. Japan has 1% EVs and 70% hybrids, and they are happy with that mix.

    I don’t care if activists don’t believe me. I have seen this with my own eyes.

    • Elwood P. Dowd says:
      November 15, 2025 at 7:42 am

      Could you supply any support for your conclusions wth certainty?

      • Professor Hale says:
        November 15, 2025 at 7:59 am

        Not for you. You don’t listen. You can’t read. Your only interest here is repeating the talking points of the Democratic party. Boring! I have already said this but I am guessing memory loss has been added to your other faults. I have no interest in anything you have to say on any topic or answering your demands for proof, that you won’t bother to read.

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