The best way to stop this from happening is taxing you and restricting you from eating delicious steaks and other meat, force you to take no more than 2 minute showers, and have you take the train to work. Or walk. Or bike. Anything but fossil fuels
Climate change: New study says ‘dangerous’ temperatures will be here sooner than we think
Climate scientists say it’s almost certain we’ll cross the threshold for a “dangerous” level of global warming as soon as 2038, possibly as early as 2027, if drastic measures aren’t taken.
It’s a gloomier scenario than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has put forward, they say; but being based on real-world historical data, sadly perhaps more accurate.
“Climate skeptics have argued that global warming projections are unreliable because they depend on faulty supercomputer models,” said Bruno Tremblay, a professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at McGill University and co-author of a new study looking at the future state of the climate.
“While these criticisms are unwarranted, they underscore the need for independent and different approaches to predicting future warming.”
How much do you want to bet that neither the raw data nor the methodology will be shared? Of course, if they are using the smoothed/adjusted data from places like NOAA and the UK Met Office, this projection is unreliable.
The threshold for 1.5C of warming will be passed sometime between 2027 and 2042, they say – depending on what actions humanity takes. The IPCC’s estimate is 2052.
Under a best-case scenario, where emissions are phased out by 2100, the world has an 80 percent chance of keeping temperature rises below 1.5C this century, and a 97 percent chance of keeping it below 2C.
In the middle scenario – emissions rising to 2050, then falling to about half that level by 2100 – it’s almost certain we’ll pass 1.5C mid-century, and 94 percent likelihood of breaching 2K by 2100.
The third scenario – emissions keep rising through the 21st century – the 1.5C threshold will be breached in the 2030s or 2040s, and 2C in the 2050s.
The Medieval Warm Period and the Minoan Warm period (from around 1500 BC to 600 BC) were both way warmer than today, especially the latter. It’s debatable if the Roman Warm Period (O AD to about 550 AD) was as warm as now, but, it was pretty warm. Why? No fossil fueled vehicles, right? Reconstructions also show the possibility of the two warm periods prior to the Minoan were way, way warmer. Regardless, this is all about the Doom, trying to scare people into giving up their money and freedom. And, setting the stage that if some countries Do Something then their models won’t fail.
Teach
Pls share with us the data from any national weather service you think maybe more “correctâ€
Israel also believes in this “hoaxâ€
Well, when you cherry pick a time when temps were at their lowest in the last 10,000 years as your baseline, any warming will look significant and/or alarming.
But, at least they admit now that the models are faulty.
There, there, poor thing.
The hyper-excitable Teach stresses over a new study that confirms other predictions by using a new method.
Teach typed: How much do you want to bet that neither the raw data nor the methodology will be shared?
Teach is full of it, of course, repeating the false notion that the scientific community is keeping raw data and methods from other researchers AND that NOAA and the Met Office are cheating. Once again, Teach contradicts himself, denying once again that the Earth is warming.
How many irreversible tipping points have we now passed?
There, there, poor thing.
The hyper-excitable Teach stresses over a new study that confirms other predictions by using a new method.
Teach typed: How much do you want to bet that neither the raw data nor the methodology will be shared?
Teach is full of bullshit, of course, repeating the false notion that the scientific community is keeping raw data and methods from other researchers AND that NOAA and the Met Office are cheating. Once again, Teach contradicts himself, denying once again that the Earth is warming.
Their computer modeling software was provided by Dominion.
Lolgf
There’s no evidence of “dangerous warmingâ€, of course, and the 1.5 figure is pulled out of thin air-I believe it used to be 2 degrees. “Skeptics argue that projections are based on faulty super computer models.. those criticisms are unwarranted..†Gee, ok, because you say so-without any explanation, of course. They are faulty because they’re based on a CO2 sensitivity that isn’t even know yet, amongst just educational guesses as to what the other forcings are. But the best is -the MWP was as warm, or warmer, but now it’s “dangerousâ€!