Warmists Now Claim “Climate Change” Will Steer Big Hurricanes Away From East Coast

In terms of landfalling hurricanes, this seems to be what’s happening. It’s been over 7 years and 10 months since a major hurricane (category 3+) hit the United States. There has only been one barely a hurricane strike since 2008. Superstorm Sandy was not a hurricane at time of landfall. Hurricanes and tropical systems seem to be staying out at sea more often. Could it be a result of a climate that is in the midst of a mostly natural warm period? Sure. But, I suspect this “report” is simply a CYA one designed to protect the Climatologists religion

(Guardian) A recurrence of Superstorm Sandy – which barrelled head-on into the Atlantic coast, swamping New York City and large parts of New Jersey – is less likely under climate change, new research suggests.

Scientists expect stronger hurricanes under climate change, and possibly even more frequent storms – especially those at category 3 and higher. But New York City and much of the seaboard will be at lower risk of taking a direct hit, the study published on Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences said.

Instead, climate change will make it even less likely future storms will follow Sandy’s devastating track. The killer storm made a sharp left turn to slam straight into the Atlantic coast. The odds of a storm like Sandy were already extremely remote – a once in 700 year event – when it hit in October 2012. But it was that trajectory that made Sandy so devastating.

Essentially, what they’re saying is “we don’t know why the humongous 2005 storm year hasn’t become the new norm, why tropical systems are hitting the east coast with less frequency, and why there aren’t more major storms, but, we need the money train to keep a rollin’, so here’s a study”.

The researchers used climate models, based on a tripling of greenhouse gas emissions by 2100, to study whether future atmospheric conditions be more or less likely to blow a storm like Sandy westwards into the Atlantic coast.

Ah. computer models. Which, as you remember, dear reader, fail to even predict what happened in the past. As it stands, hurricane predictions cannot even predict what will happen just a few days out with certainty. But, don’t worry, they know what will happen 90 years from now. When CO2 levels are 1200ppm.  Right. Sure thing. But, if true, doesn’t this mean “climate change” is a good thing? Having lived through many tropical systems here in North Carolina, I’d say so.

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7 Comments

Comment by john
2013-09-04 09:23:23

“warmists” now include 40% of all Republicans.

 
Comment by Gail Combs
2013-09-04 11:22:32

Amazing what a Corporate Median OWNED by the bankers can do in the brainwashing department isn’t it John?

 
Comment by Gail Combs
2013-09-04 12:24:30

Teach, I think you need to go fishing in the spam bucket again for my second comment.

 
Comment by Gail Combs
2013-09-04 13:51:22

Svensmark’s cosmic ray theory of clouds and global warming looks to be confirmed by Technical University of Denmark.

Danish experiment suggests unexpected magic by cosmic rays in cloud formation
Researchers in the Technical University of Denmark (DTU) are hard on the trail of a previously unknown molecular process that helps commonplace clouds to form. Tests in a large and highly instrumented reaction chamber in Lyngby, called SKY2, demonstrate that an existing chemical theory is misleading.

Back in 1996 Danish physicists suggested that cosmic rays, energetic particles from space, are important in the formation of clouds. Since then, experiments in Copenhagen and elsewhere have demonstrated that cosmic rays actually help small clusters of molecules to form. But the cosmic-ray/cloud hypothesis seemed to run into a problem when numerical simulations of the prevailing chemical theory pointed to a failure of growth.

Fortunately the chemical theory could also be tested experimentally, as was done with SKY2….

Simulating what could happen in the atmosphere, the DTU’s SKY2 experiment shows molecular clusters (red dots) failing to grow enough to provide significant numbers of “cloud condensation nuclei” (CCN) of more than 50 nanometres in diameter. This is what existing theories predict. But when the air in the chamber is exposed to ionizing rays that simulate the effect of cosmic rays, the clusters (blue dots) grow much more vigorously to the sizes suitable for helping water droplets to form and make clouds. (A nanometre is a millionth of a millimetre.)

As Anthony Watts said “Between flaccid climate sensitivity, ENSO driving “the pause”, and now this, it looks like the upcoming IPCC AR5 report will be obsolete the day it is released.”

That is OK though I am sure the Banker backed MSM will continue to flog the dead IPCC horse.
http://www.thepiratescove.us/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/Beating_A_Dead_Horse_by_livius.gif

 
Comment by Wonderful_Gumballs Subscribed to comments via email
2013-09-04 22:23:27

The researchers used climate models, based on a tripling of greenhouse gas emissions by 2100

Tripling? They had to go all the way to TRIPLING all of the greenhouse gases in order to get a result that is comparable to now?

good lord. We haven’t even gotten to a double of CO2 let alone all greenhouse gases. And they want to triple the amounts????

Seems like they’d get better results\reliability if they just let a kid write a program and fill it with random data.

This “seeding” of the data with such wild-ass data is a good example of why these idiots are not scientists.

 
Comment by Trish Mac Subscribed to comments via email
2013-09-05 10:41:25

Hahahaha, well I for one am happy it is working to steer storms away.

As always, John has to simplify things, must be how his brain works.

Yes we believe in climate change, and embrace it. It means we aren’t in a static universe- naturally occurring changes will happen to climates worldwide, making changes to water temps and storms plus a myriad of other climate related events.

Ain’t nature beautiful?

 
Comment by john
2013-09-05 13:28:34

sure nature is beautiful and we are all part of it. Coldists say that Sandy was overhyped and really not a lot more than just a big rainstorm.
Trish. the US NAvy says that this RAPID climate change is being caused by man. They aren’t hippies. Why don’t you believe them /

 

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